Tip WON  ·  Al Shabab 2-4 Al Nassr
Official Match Programme · SurePredictionToday
🏆 Saudi Professional League 📅 Thursday, 7th May 2026
AL
Al Shabab
L D L W D
2-4
VS
AL
Al Nassr
L W W W W
GATE: PREDICTION ZONE ADMIT: 1 BETTOR REF #003273
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
2
We're backing Al Nassr to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.34
~50% implied
Confidence
67%
Strong Pick
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🎟 Today's Betslip SUPPORTING
★ Main 2 — Al Nassr to win @1.34
Goals Over 1.5 90%
Al Nassr Clean Sheet Away CS 60%
H2H Over 2.5 80%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

💸 Bettor Intelligence PRO
📊 Value Assessment
-24.6%
edge
No Value
Market implies 74.6% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -24.6% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
🔥 Form Streak Tracker
Al Shabab
L D L W D D W D L W
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 40%
Al Nassr
L W W W W W W W W W
🔥 Hot 9 in a row
Momentum 100%
⚔ Head to Head
Al Shabab0W
Draw3
Al Nassr7W
Supports Tip Al Nassr won 7 of 10 meetings.
📈 Recent Form
Al Shabab wins3/10
Al Nassr wins9/10
Goals per game4.1
H2H avg goals3.9
Supports Tip Al Nassr: 9W 0D 1L from 10 games.
3-4-3
Al Shabab form
9-0-1
Al Nassr form
70%
H2H BTTS rate
3.9
H2H avg goals
⭐ Team Form Ratings
Al Shabab
Overall
4.2
Scoring
8.7
Defence
3.3
Al Nassr
Overall
9.0
Scoring
9.7
Defence
7.7
📐 Key Analytics
Al Shabab
2.6
Goals
scored/game
2
Goals
conceded/game
10%
Clean
sheets
Al Nassr
2.9
Goals
scored/game
0.7
Goals
conceded/game
60%
Clean
sheets
🎯 Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 13%
Home Win & BTTS No 8%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 39%
Away Win & BTTS No 26%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 13%
Home Win & Under 2.5 8%
Draw & Over 2.5 8%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 39%
Away Win & Under 2.5 26%
📋 Match History
Head to Head
17.01.26
SPL
Al Nassr
Al Shabab
3
2
07.03.25
SPL
Al Nassr
Al Shabab
2
2
18.10.24
SPL
Al Shabab
Al Nassr
1
2
25.02.24
SPL
Al Shabab
Al Nassr
2
3
11.12.23
KC
Al Shabab
Al Nassr
2
5
29.08.23
SPL
Al Nassr
Al Shabab
4
0
28.07.23
ACCC
Al Nassr
Al Shabab
0
0
23.05.23
SPL
Al Nassr
Al Shabab
3
2
14.01.23
SPL
Al Shabab
Al Nassr
0
0
06.05.22
SPL
Al Nassr
Al Shabab
4
2
Recent Results
Al Shabab
03.05.26
SPL
Al Shabab
Al Taawon
1
5
L
28.04.26
SPL
Al Shabab
Al Fateh
1
1
D
23.04.26
GCC
Al Shabab
Al Rayyan
0
3
L
19.04.26
GCC
Al Shabab
Zakho
12
1
W
14.04.26
SPL
Al Qadsiah
Al Shabab
2
2
D
05.04.26
SPL
Al Riyadh
Al Shabab
1
1
D
14.03.26
SPL
Al Shabab
Al Okhdood
2
0
W
07.03.26
SPL
Al Ettifaq
Al Shabab
1
1
D
27.02.26
SPL
Al Shabab
Al Hilal
3
5
L
23.02.26
SPL
Al Shabab
Al Riyadh
3
1
W
Al Nassr
03.05.26
SPL
Al Qadsiah
Al Nassr
3
1
L
29.04.26
SPL
Al Nassr
Al Ahli SC
2
0
W
22.04.26
CL2
Al Nassr
Al Ahli Doha
5
1
W
19.04.26
CL2
Al Wasl
Al Nassr
0
4
W
15.04.26
SPL
Al Nassr
Al Ettifaq
1
0
W
11.04.26
SPL
Al Okhdood
Al Nassr
0
2
W
03.04.26
SPL
Al Nassr
Al Najma
5
2
W
14.03.26
SPL
Al Khaleej
Al Nassr
0
5
W
07.03.26
SPL
Al Nassr
Neom SC
1
0
W
28.02.26
SPL
Al Fayha
Al Nassr
1
3
W
🎙 Expert Analysis

On Thursday, 7th May 2026, Al Shabab host Al Nassr in Saudi Professional League. Our analysis points to Al Nassr to win as the standout bet.

Al Shabab come into this going through a difficult run, with 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 2.6 goals scored and 2 conceded per game.

Al Nassr are travelling well — 9W 0D 1L in 10 games, scoring 2.9 and conceding 0.7 per match.

Historically, Al Shabab have won 0 of the last 10 meetings against Al Nassr, who have taken 7 victories, with 3 draws. Both teams scored in 70% of those games, averaging 3.9 goals.

With all factors considered, al nassr to win at 1.34 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


To really find an advantage in sports betting, checking the daily data is an absolute must. This pending Saudi Professional League fixture is a dream for anyone who loves digging into stats. Taking your personal bias out of the equation is the golden rule for making money.

We start by grading the home team. Their broad season record sets the starting odds, but the real clues are always hidden in the short term. Reviewing their latest games gives us a clear look at their current offensive output and their true defensive grit.

The visiting side brings a completely different profile that needs to be decoded. It is incredibly important to weigh their long-term form against the momentum of their most recent games to uncover any oddsmaker mistakes. Past encounters also cast a huge shadow over today’s lines.

Head-to-head history regularly uncovers mental hurdles and tactical edges that automated models just miss completely. Putting these historical truths together with current momentum points us straight to the likely winner. The smart money is backing 2, especially when you factor in the current odds of @1.34.

As the referee signals the start of the match, our analysis is officially wrapped up. The final score will prove if the numbers pointed the right way. Check out our other tips today to build a solid slip.

❓ Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Al Shabab vs Al Nassr?
Our top pick is 2 — Al Nassr to win at around 1.34. Confidence: 67%.
What is Al Shabab's recent form?
Al Shabab have won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 — inconsistent.
How has Al Nassr been performing?
Al Nassr: 9W 0D 1L from 10 games — very good form.
What is the H2H record?
Al Shabab 0 wins vs Al Nassr's 7, with 3 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 3.9 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 4.1 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 70%.
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