Official Match Programme · SurePredictionToday
📅 Tuesday, 8th September 2026 ⏰ 7:00 pm 📍 Prince Saud bin Jalawi Stadium (Dammam) ⏳ —
AL
Al Qadsiah
W W W L W
VS
AL
Al Ahli SC
W L L W W
GATE: PREDICTION ZONE ADMIT: 1 BETTOR REF #004623
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
Over 2.5
We're backing over 2.5 goals in this fixture.
Odds
1.48
~78% implied
Confidence
65%
Strong Pick
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🎟 Today's Betslip SUPPORTING
★ Main Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals @1.48
Both Teams To Score BTTS — No 65%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

💸 Bettor Intelligence PRO
📊 Value Assessment
+10.4%
edge
Value Bet
The market prices this at 67.6% but our model gives it 78%. That's a +10.4% edge — statistically meaningful.
💰 Kelly Criterion
Strategy% of bankrolle.g. $1,000
Full Kelly 32.2% $322.00
Half Kelly 16.1% $161.00
Quarter Kelly 8.1% $81.00
Most professionals use Half or Quarter Kelly to manage variance. Full Kelly maximises expected growth but carries higher drawdown risk.
🔥 Form Streak Tracker
Al Qadsiah
W W W L W W L D W W
〰 Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 60%
Al Ahli SC
W L L W W W W D L L
〰 Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 40%
⚔ Head to Head
Al Qadsiah3W
Draw2
Al Ahli SC5W
Supports Tip Over 2.5 goals in 60% of H2H meetings (avg 3.4).
📈 Recent Form
Al Qadsiah wins7/10
Al Ahli SC wins5/10
Goals per game2.8
H2H avg goals3.4
Mixed Over 2.5 goals in 50% of recent games.
7-1-2
Al Qadsiah form
5-1-4
Al Ahli SC form
70%
H2H BTTS rate
3.4
H2H avg goals
⭐ Team Form Ratings
Al Qadsiah
Overall
7.3
Scoring
7.3
Defence
8.3
Al Ahli SC
Overall
5.3
Scoring
5.3
Defence
5.7
📐 Key Analytics
Al Qadsiah
2.2
Goals
scored/game
0.5
Goals
conceded/game
50%
Clean
sheets
Al Ahli SC
1.6
Goals
scored/game
1.3
Goals
conceded/game
40%
Clean
sheets
🎯 Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 19%
Home Win & BTTS No 35%
Draw & BTTS Yes 3%
Draw & BTTS No 5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 13%
Away Win & BTTS No 25%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 27%
Home Win & Under 2.5 27%
Draw & Over 2.5 4%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 19%
Away Win & Under 2.5 19%
📋 Match History
Head to Head
13.03.26
SPL
Al Qadsiah
Al Ahli SC
3
2
28.11.25
KC
Al Ahli SC
Al Qadsiah (5-4)
3
3
21.11.25
SPL
Al Ahli SC
Al Qadsiah
2
1
20.08.25
SC
Al Qadsiah
Al Ahli SC
1
5
25.02.25
SPL
Al Ahli SC
Al Qadsiah
4
1
27.09.24
SPL
Al Qadsiah
Al Ahli SC
1
0
23.05.23
DIV
Al Ahli SC
Al Qadsiah
1
0
10.01.23
DIV
Al Qadsiah
Al Ahli SC
1
1
14.05.21
SPL
Al Ahli SC
Al Qadsiah
1
0
08.01.21
SPL
Al Qadsiah
Al Ahli SC
3
1
Recent Results
Al Qadsiah
03.09.26
SPL
Al Diriyah
Al Qadsiah
0
2
W
30.08.26
SPL
Al Qadsiah
Al-Faisaly
3
1
W
24.08.26
SPL
Neom SC
Al Qadsiah
0
2
W
21.08.26
SPL
Al Qadsiah
Al Ittihad
0
1
L
17.08.26
KC
Al Taee
Al Qadsiah
0
5
W
13.08.26
SPL
Al Shabab
Al Qadsiah
1
3
W
26.07.26
CF
Levante
Al Qadsiah
1
0
L
15.07.26
CF
Oviedo
Al Qadsiah
0
0
D
21.05.26
SPL
Al Ittihad
Al Qadsiah
1
5
W
14.05.26
SPL
Al Qadsiah
Al Hazem
2
0
W
Al Ahli SC
04.09.26
SPL
Al Ahli SC
Al Riyadh
5
0
W
01.09.26
SPL
Al Hilal
Al Ahli SC
3
0
L
29.08.26
SPL
Al Kholood
Al Ahli SC
3
1
L
26.08.26
FIC
Al Ahli SC
Auckland FC
1
0
W
22.08.26
SPL
Al Ahli SC
Abha
4
0
W
17.08.26
KC
Al Anwar
Al Ahli SC
1
2
W
13.08.26
SPL
Al Diriyah
Al Ahli SC
0
1
W
28.07.26
CF
Al Ahli SC
Fulham
1
1
D
28.07.26
CF
Portimonense
Al Ahli SC
2
0
L
24.07.26
CF
Al Ahli SC
Vitoria Guimaraes
1
3
L
🎙 Expert Analysis

On Tuesday, 8th September 2026, Al Qadsiah host Al Ahli SC at Prince Saud bin Jalawi Stadium (Dammam). Our analysis points to over 2.5 goals as the standout bet.

Al Qadsiah come into this in strong form, with 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 2.2 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game.

Al Ahli SC are inconsistent on the road — 5W 1D 4L in 10 games, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.3 per match.

Historically, Al Qadsiah have won 3 of the last 10 meetings against Al Ahli SC, who have taken 5 victories, with 2 draws. Both teams scored in 70% of those games, averaging 3.4 goals.

With all factors considered, over 2.5 goals at 1.48 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


Everyone says do your research. Almost nobody does it properly. Proper research means setting aside what you already think you know about both teams, reading only the verified recent evidence, and then checking that evidence against the price on offer. Applied honestly, that process produced this Unknown League preview.

The hosts turn up on 4 wins, 1 loss from their last 5 games. That run is plain for the market to see, which means it is largely priced in already. The more revealing question is what those recent home games actually tell us — whether the manager’s setup is genuinely clicking, whether the strongest eleven has been fit and available, and whether the results have reflected real quality or a bit of fortune in one direction or the other. Sustainable form holds across a handful of matches. Flukes fade. Prince Saud bin Jalawi Stadium (Dammam) tends to sort the two quickly.

The visitors arrive on 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We went straight to the recent road record, because that is where the current truth lives for a travelling team. Are they pressing early and taking their chances with confidence, or do they need the comfort of home to find their best? Recent away results answer that without much ambiguity.

With both teams read carefully, the position we trust is Over 2.5 at @1.48, which the numbers put at around 78%. The match begins at 7:00 pm.

There is a full slate of predictions on the site today, each given the same honest treatment — worth a proper look before you decide where your stake belongs. It is worth repeating: the side that looks the part on paper and the side that turns up on the day are not always the same team, and recent form is the surest bridge between the two.

❓ Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Al Qadsiah vs Al Ahli SC?
Our top pick is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals at around 1.48. Confidence: 65%.
What is Al Qadsiah's recent form?
Al Qadsiah have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 — very good form.
How has Al Ahli SC been performing?
Al Ahli SC: 5W 1D 4L from 10 games — decent form.
What is the H2H record?
Al Qadsiah 3 wins vs Al Ahli SC's 5, with 2 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 3.4 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.8 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 70%.
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