Tip WON  ·  Al Ahly 1-0 Smouha
Official Match Programme · SurePredictionToday
📅 Thursday, 3rd September 2026 ⏰ 6:00 pm 📍 Cairo International Stadium (Cairo)
AL
Al Ahly
W W L W W
1-0
VS
SMO
Smouha
D L L L L
GATE: PREDICTION ZONE ADMIT: 1 BETTOR REF #004575
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Al Ahly to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.32
~62% implied
Confidence
61%
Solid Pick
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🎟 Today's Betslip SUPPORTING
★ Main 1 — Al Ahly to win @1.32
Goals Over 1.5 80%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

💸 Bettor Intelligence PRO
📊 Value Assessment
-13.8%
edge
No Value
Market implies 75.8% probability. Our estimate is 62%, a -13.8% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
🔥 Form Streak Tracker
Al Ahly
W W L W W W L W D L
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 40%
Smouha
D L L L L L L L W W
〰 Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 40%
⚔ Head to Head
Al Ahly6W
Draw2
Smouha2W
Supports Tip Al Ahly won 6 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Al Ahly wins6/10
Smouha wins2/10
Goals per game2.6
H2H avg goals2.1
Supports Tip Al Ahly: 6W 1D 3L from 10 games.
6-1-3
Al Ahly form
2-1-7
Smouha form
30%
H2H BTTS rate
2.1
H2H avg goals
⭐ Team Form Ratings
Al Ahly
Overall
6.3
Scoring
6.3
Defence
6.0
Smouha
Overall
2.3
Scoring
2.7
Defence
6.0
📐 Key Analytics
Al Ahly
1.9
Goals
scored/game
1.2
Goals
conceded/game
40%
Clean
sheets
Smouha
0.8
Goals
scored/game
1.2
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
🎯 Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 27%
Home Win & BTTS No 40%
Draw & BTTS Yes 4%
Draw & BTTS No 7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 9%
Away Win & BTTS No 13%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 37%
Home Win & Under 2.5 30%
Draw & Over 2.5 6%
Draw & Under 2.5 5%
Away Win & Over 2.5 12%
Away Win & Under 2.5 10%
📋 Match History
Head to Head
11.04.26
PL
Al Ahly
Smouha
2
1
23.02.26
PL
Smouha
Al Ahly
0
1
07.01.25
PL
Al Ahly
Smouha
2
0
08.08.24
PL
Smouha
Al Ahly
0
1
28.11.23
PL
Al Ahly
Smouha
0
0
17.04.23
PL
Smouha
Al Ahly
0
2
17.01.23
CUP
Al Ahly
Smouha
3
1
25.12.22
PL
Al Ahly
Smouha
0
0
29.06.22
PL
Smouha
Al Ahly
3
2
27.01.22
CUP
Smouha
Al Ahly
3
0
Recent Results
Al Ahly
28.08.26
PL
ZED
Al Ahly
0
2
W
23.08.26
PL
Al Ahly
Enppi
3
2
W
19.08.26
CF
Barcelona
Al Ahly
2
1
L
20.05.26
PL
Al Masry
Al Ahly
0
2
W
05.05.26
PL
Al Ahly
Enppi
3
0
W
01.05.26
PL
Zamalek
Al Ahly
0
3
W
27.04.26
PL
Pyramids
Al Ahly
3
0
L
11.04.26
PL
Al Ahly
Smouha
2
1
W
07.04.26
PL
Ceramica Cleopatra
Al Ahly
1
1
D
21.03.26
CL
Al Ahly
Esperance Tunis
2
3
L
Smouha
26.08.26
PL
Smouha
Asyut Petroleum
0
0
D
22.08.26
PL
Al Masry
Smouha
1
0
L
20.05.26
PL
Pyramids
Smouha
2
1
L
05.05.26
PL
Smouha
Zamalek
0
1
L
27.04.26
PL
Smouha
Al Masry
0
1
L
22.04.26
PL
Smouha
Ceramica Cleopatra
0
2
L
11.04.26
PL
Al Ahly
Smouha
2
1
L
07.04.26
PL
Smouha
Enppi
0
2
L
07.03.26
PL
Smouha
Modern Sport
3
0
W
01.03.26
PL
National Bank Egypt
Smouha
1
3
W
🎙 Expert Analysis

On Thursday, 3rd September 2026, Al Ahly host Smouha at Cairo International Stadium (Cairo). Our analysis points to Al Ahly to win as the standout bet.

Al Ahly come into this showing mixed form, with 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 1.9 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game.

Smouha are struggling away from home — 2W 1D 7L in 10 games, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.2 per match.

Historically, Al Ahly have won 6 of the last 10 meetings against Smouha, who have taken 2 victories, with 2 draws. Both teams scored in 30% of those games, averaging 2.1 goals.

With all factors considered, al ahly to win at 1.32 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


Everyone says do your research. Almost nobody does it properly. Proper research means setting aside what you already think you know about both teams, reading only the verified recent evidence, and then checking that evidence against the price on offer. Applied honestly, that process produced this Unknown League preview.

The hosts turn up on 4 wins, 1 loss from their last 5 games. That run is plain for the market to see, which means it is largely priced in already. The more revealing question is what those recent home games actually tell us — whether the manager’s setup is genuinely clicking, whether the strongest eleven has been fit and available, and whether the results have reflected real quality or a bit of fortune in one direction or the other. Sustainable form holds across a handful of matches. Flukes fade. Cairo International Stadium (Cairo) tends to sort the two quickly.

The visitors arrive on 1 draw, 4 losses from their last 5 games. We went straight to the recent road record, because that is where the current truth lives for a travelling team. Are they pressing early and taking their chances with confidence, or do they need the comfort of home to find their best? Recent away results answer that without much ambiguity.

With both teams read carefully, the position we trust is 1 at @1.32, which the numbers put at around 62%. The match begins at 6:00 pm.

There is a full slate of predictions on the site today, each given the same honest treatment — worth a proper look before you decide where your stake belongs. It is worth repeating: the side that looks the part on paper and the side that turns up on the day are not always the same team, and recent form is the surest bridge between the two.

 

❓ Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Al Ahly vs Smouha?
Our top pick is 1 — Al Ahly to win at around 1.32. Confidence: 61%.
What is Al Ahly's recent form?
Al Ahly have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 — decent form.
How has Smouha been performing?
Smouha: 2W 1D 7L from 10 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record?
Al Ahly 6 wins vs Smouha's 2, with 2 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 2.1 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.6 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 30%.
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