Tip LOST  ·  Aarau 1-3 Etoile-Carouge
Official Match Programme · SurePredictionToday
🏆 Swiss Challenge League 📅 Tuesday, 7th April 2026
AAR
Aarau
W W W W W
1-3
VS
ETO
Etoile-Carouge
D W W L W
GATE: PREDICTION ZONE ADMIT: 1 BETTOR REF #002938
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Aarau to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.44
~50% implied
Confidence
61%
Solid Pick
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🎟 Today's Betslip SUPPORTING
★ Main 1 — Aarau to win @1.44
Goals Under 2.5 70%
Both Teams To Score BTTS — No 70%
H2H Over 2.5 70%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

💸 Bettor Intelligence PRO
📊 Value Assessment
-19.4%
edge
No Value
Market implies 69.4% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -19.4% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
🔥 Form Streak Tracker
Aarau
W W W W W D L D W W
〰 Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 40%
Etoile-Carouge
D W W L W D L D W D
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 20%
⚔ Head to Head
Aarau7W
Draw1
Etoile-Carouge2W
Supports Tip Aarau won 7 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Aarau wins7/10
Etoile-Carouge wins4/10
Goals per game2
H2H avg goals3.2
Supports Tip Aarau: 7W 2D 1L from 10 games.
7-2-1
Aarau form
4-4-2
Etoile-Carouge form
50%
H2H BTTS rate
3.2
H2H avg goals
⭐ Team Form Ratings
Aarau
Overall
7.6
Scoring
8.0
Defence
5.0
Etoile-Carouge
Overall
5.2
Scoring
0.0
Defence
10.0
📐 Key Analytics
Aarau
2.4
Goals
scored/game
1.5
Goals
conceded/game
40%
Clean
sheets
Etoile-Carouge
0
Goals
scored/game
0
Goals
conceded/game
0%
Clean
sheets
🎯 Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 15%
Home Win & BTTS No 35%
Draw & BTTS Yes 6%
Draw & BTTS No 15%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 9%
Away Win & BTTS No 20%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 15%
Home Win & Under 2.5 35%
Draw & Over 2.5 6%
Draw & Under 2.5 15%
Away Win & Over 2.5 9%
Away Win & Under 2.5 20%
📋 Match History
Head to Head
06.03.26
Challenge League: Étoile Carouge
Aarau
0
3
12.12.25
Challenge League: Aarau
Etoile-Carouge
2
1
26.09.25
Challenge League: Etoile-Carouge
Aarau
1
3
16.05.25
Challenge League: Etoile-Carouge
Aarau
1
3
28.03.25
Challenge League: Aarau
Etoile-Carouge
2
2
05.12.24
Swiss Cup: Aarau
Etoile-Carouge
0
1
01.11.24
Challenge League: Etoile-Carouge
Aarau
2
1
24.08.24
Challenge League: Aarau
Etoile-Carouge
1
0
23.05.12
Challenge League: Aarau
Etoile-Carouge
7
0
24.09.11
Challenge League: Etoile-Carouge
Aarau
0
2
Recent Results
Aarau
04.04.26
Challenge League: Rapperswil-Jona
FC Aarau
4
5
W
21.03.26
Challenge League: FC Aarau
Neuchâtel Xamax
1
0
W
13.03.26
Challenge League: FC Aarau
FC Vaduz
2
0
W
06.03.26
Challenge League: Étoile Carouge
FC Aarau
0
3
W
27.02.26
Challenge League: FC Aarau
Rapperswil-Jona
5
3
W
20.02.26
Challenge League: Stade Nyonnais
FC Aarau
1
1
D
13.02.26
Challenge League: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
FC Aarau
4
2
L
07.02.26
Challenge League: FC Aarau
FC Wil
2
2
D
30.01.26
Challenge League: Yverdon Sport
FC Aarau
1
2
W
24.01.26
Challenge League: FC Aarau
Bellinzona
1
0
W
Etoile-Carouge
03.04.26
Challenge League: Étoile Carouge
Stade Nyonnais
0
0
D
22.03.26
Challenge League: FC Wil
Étoile Carouge
1
3
W
13.03.26
Challenge League: Bellinzona
Étoile Carouge
0
3
W
06.03.26
Challenge League: Étoile Carouge
FC Aarau
0
3
L
28.02.26
Challenge League: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
Étoile Carouge
0
1
W
20.02.26
Challenge League: Étoile Carouge
Yverdon Sport
2
2
D
13.02.26
Challenge League: Étoile Carouge
Neuchâtel Xamax
1
3
L
06.02.26
Challenge League: FC Vaduz
Étoile Carouge
3
3
D
30.01.26
Challenge League: Étoile Carouge
Rapperswil-Jona
2
1
W
23.01.26
Challenge League: Stade Nyonnais
Étoile Carouge
2
2
D
🎙 Expert Analysis

On Tuesday, 7th April 2026, Aarau host Etoile-Carouge in Swiss Challenge League. Our analysis points to Aarau to win as the standout bet.

Aarau come into this in strong form, with 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 2.4 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game.

Etoile-Carouge are inconsistent on the road — 4W 4D 2L in 10 games, scoring 0 and conceding 0 per match.

Historically, Aarau have won 7 of the last 10 meetings against Etoile-Carouge, who have taken 2 victories, with 1 draws. Both teams scored in 50% of those games, averaging 3.2 goals.

With all factors considered, aarau to win at 1.44 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


To really find an advantage in sports betting, checking the daily data is an absolute must. This pending Swiss Challenge League fixture is a dream for anyone who loves digging into stats. Taking your personal bias out of the equation is the golden rule for making money.

We start by grading the home team. Their broad season record sets the starting odds, but the real clues are always hidden in the short term. Reviewing their latest games gives us a clear look at their current offensive output and their true defensive grit.

The visiting side brings a completely different profile that needs to be decoded. It is incredibly important to weigh their long-term form against the momentum of their most recent games to uncover any oddsmaker mistakes. Past encounters also cast a huge shadow over today’s lines.

Head-to-head history regularly uncovers mental hurdles and tactical edges that automated models just miss completely. Putting these historical truths together with current momentum points us straight to the likely winner. The smart money is backing 1, especially when you factor in the current odds of @1.44.

As the referee signals the start of the match, our analysis is officially wrapped up. The final score will prove if the numbers pointed the right way. Check out our other tips today to build a solid slip.

❓ Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Aarau vs Etoile-Carouge?
Our top pick is 1 — Aarau to win at around 1.44. Confidence: 61%.
What is Aarau's recent form?
Aarau have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 — very good form.
How has Etoile-Carouge been performing?
Etoile-Carouge: 4W 4D 2L from 10 games — inconsistent.
What is the H2H record?
Aarau 7 wins vs Etoile-Carouge's 2, with 1 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 3.2 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 50%.
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