Official Match Programme · SurePredictionToday
📅 Friday, 4th September 2026 ⏰ 7:30 pm 📍 MHPArena (Stuttgart) ⏳ —
STU
Stuttgart
L W L W D
VS
KOL
Koln
W W W D W
GATE: PREDICTION ZONE ADMIT: 1 BETTOR REF #004588
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
Over 2.5
We're backing over 2.5 goals in this fixture.
Odds
1.36
~80% implied
Confidence
75%
Strong Pick
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🎟 Today's Betslip SUPPORTING
★ Main Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals @1.36
Goals Over 2.5 90%
Goals Over 1.5 95%
Both Teams To Score BTTS — Yes 70%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

💸 Bettor Intelligence PRO
📊 Value Assessment
+6.5%
edge
Value Bet
The market prices this at 73.5% but our model gives it 80%. That's a +6.5% edge — statistically meaningful.
💰 Kelly Criterion
Strategy% of bankrolle.g. $1,000
Full Kelly 24.4% $244.00
Half Kelly 12.2% $122.00
Quarter Kelly 6.1% $61.00
Most professionals use Half or Quarter Kelly to manage variance. Full Kelly maximises expected growth but carries higher drawdown risk.
🔥 Form Streak Tracker
Stuttgart
L W L W D W W W L D
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 60%
Koln
W W W D W L L D L D
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 0%
⚔ Head to Head
Stuttgart6W
Draw2
Koln2W
Mixed Over 2.5 goals in 50% of H2H meetings (avg 2.6).
📈 Recent Form
Stuttgart wins5/10
Koln wins4/10
Goals per game4.5
H2H avg goals2.6
Supports Tip Over 2.5 goals in 90% of recent games.
5-2-3
Stuttgart form
4-3-3
Koln form
50%
H2H BTTS rate
2.6
H2H avg goals
⭐ Team Form Ratings
Stuttgart
Overall
5.6
Scoring
10.0
Defence
5.0
Koln
Overall
4.9
Scoring
7.7
Defence
3.7
📐 Key Analytics
Stuttgart
3.2
Goals
scored/game
1.5
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
Koln
2.3
Goals
scored/game
1.9
Goals
conceded/game
10%
Clean
sheets
🎯 Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 30%
Home Win & BTTS No 13%
Draw & BTTS Yes 15%
Draw & BTTS No 7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 25%
Away Win & BTTS No 11%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 39%
Home Win & Under 2.5 4%
Draw & Over 2.5 20%
Draw & Under 2.5 2%
Away Win & Over 2.5 32%
Away Win & Under 2.5 4%
📋 Match History
Head to Head
14.02.26
BUN
Stuttgart
FC Koln
3
1
28.09.25
BUN
FC Koln
Stuttgart
1
2
24.02.24
BUN
Stuttgart
FC Koln
1
1
30.09.23
BUN
FC Koln
Stuttgart
0
2
18.02.23
BUN
Stuttgart
FC Koln
3
0
19.11.22
CF
FC Koln
Stuttgart
2
4
28.08.22
BUN
FC Koln
Stuttgart
0
0
14.05.22
BUN
Stuttgart
FC Koln
2
1
19.12.21
BUN
FC Koln
Stuttgart
1
0
27.10.21
POK
Stuttgart
FC Koln
0
2
Recent Results
Stuttgart
28.08.26
BUN
Bayern Munich
Stuttgart
5
1
L
21.08.26
POK
Hansa Rostock
Stuttgart
0
4
W
15.08.26
CF
Fulham
Stuttgart
1
0
L
08.08.26
CF
Stuttgart
Everton
3
1
W
01.08.26
CF
Stuttgart
Paris FC
2
2
D
29.07.26
CF
Offenbach
Stuttgart
1
8
W
25.07.26
CF
Hollenbach
Stuttgart
0
5
W
19.07.26
CF
Balingen
Stuttgart
0
7
W
23.05.26
POK
Bayern Munich
Stuttgart
3
0
L
16.05.26
BUN
Eintracht Frankfurt
Stuttgart
2
2
D
Koln
29.08.26
BUN
FC Koln
Hoffenheim
3
2
W
24.08.26
POK
Wurzburger Kickers
FC Koln
1
2
W
08.08.26
CF
FC Koln
Real Sociedad
2
1
W
31.07.26
CF
FC Koln
Hertha Berlin
2
2
D
23.07.26
CF
Bergisch Gladbach
FC Koln
0
8
W
16.05.26
BUN
Bayern Munich
FC Koln
5
1
L
10.05.26
BUN
FC Koln
Heidenheim
1
3
L
02.05.26
BUN
Union Berlin
FC Koln
2
2
D
25.04.26
BUN
FC Koln
Bayer Leverkusen
1
2
L
17.04.26
BUN
St. Pauli
FC Koln
1
1
D
🎙 Expert Analysis

On Friday, 4th September 2026, Stuttgart host Koln at MHPArena (Stuttgart). Our analysis points to over 2.5 goals as the standout bet.

Stuttgart come into this showing mixed form, with 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 3.2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game.

Koln are inconsistent on the road — 4W 3D 3L in 10 games, scoring 2.3 and conceding 1.9 per match.

Historically, Stuttgart have won 6 of the last 10 meetings against Koln, who have taken 2 victories, with 2 draws. Both teams scored in 50% of those games, averaging 2.6 goals.

With all factors considered, over 2.5 goals at 1.36 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


Everyone says do your research. Almost nobody does it properly. Proper research means setting aside what you already think you know about both teams, reading only the verified recent evidence, and then checking that evidence against the price on offer. Applied honestly, that process produced this Unknown League preview.

The hosts turn up on 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. That run is plain for the market to see, which means it is largely priced in already. The more revealing question is what those recent home games actually tell us — whether the manager’s setup is genuinely clicking, whether the strongest eleven has been fit and available, and whether the results have reflected real quality or a bit of fortune in one direction or the other. Sustainable form holds across a handful of matches. Flukes fade. MHPArena (Stuttgart) tends to sort the two quickly.

The visitors arrive on 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games. We went straight to the recent road record, because that is where the current truth lives for a travelling team. Are they pressing early and taking their chances with confidence, or do they need the comfort of home to find their best? Recent away results answer that without much ambiguity.

With both teams read carefully, the position we trust is Over 2.5 at @1.36, which the numbers put at around 80%. The match begins at 7:30 pm.

There is a full slate of predictions on the site today, each given the same honest treatment — worth a proper look before you decide where your stake belongs. It is worth repeating: the side that looks the part on paper and the side that turns up on the day are not always the same team, and recent form is the surest bridge between the two.

❓ Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Stuttgart vs Koln?
Our top pick is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals at around 1.36. Confidence: 75%.
What is Stuttgart's recent form?
Stuttgart have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 — decent form.
How has Koln been performing?
Koln: 4W 3D 3L from 10 games — inconsistent.
What is the H2H record?
Stuttgart 6 wins vs Koln's 2, with 2 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 2.6 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 4.5 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 50%.
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