Official Match Programme · SurePredictionToday
🏆 Paraguay Copa De Primera 📅 Monday, 24th August 2026 ⏰ 10:30 pm 📍 Estadio Tigo La Huerta (Asunción) ⏳ —
LIB
Libertad Asuncion
W W W L W
VS
SAN
San Lorenzo
L W L L L
GATE: PREDICTION ZONE ADMIT: 1 BETTOR REF #004468
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Libertad Asuncion to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.38
~50% implied
Confidence
57%
Solid Pick
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🎟 Today's Betslip SUPPORTING
★ Main 1 — Libertad Asuncion to win @1.38
H2H Over 2.5 90%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

💸 Bettor Intelligence PRO
📊 Value Assessment
-22.5%
edge
No Value
Market implies 72.5% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -22.5% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
🔥 Form Streak Tracker
Libertad Asuncion
D W W L W W L L L D
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 20%
San Lorenzo
L D L L L D W D W L
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 40%
⚔ Head to Head
Libertad Asuncion9W
Draw1
San Lorenzo0W
Supports Tip Libertad Asuncion won 9 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Libertad Asuncion wins4/10
San Lorenzo wins2/10
Goals per game2.1
H2H avg goals3.9
Caution Libertad Asuncion: 4W 2D 4L from 10 games.
4-2-4
Libertad Asuncion form
2-3-5
San Lorenzo form
50%
H2H BTTS rate
3.9
H2H avg goals
⭐ Team Form Ratings
Libertad Asuncion
Overall
4.6
Scoring
4.0
Defence
6.0
San Lorenzo
Overall
2.9
Scoring
1.3
Defence
5.3
📐 Key Analytics
Libertad Asuncion
1.2
Goals
scored/game
1.2
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
San Lorenzo
0.4
Goals
scored/game
1.4
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
🎯 Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 19%
Home Win & BTTS No 28%
Draw & BTTS Yes 12%
Draw & BTTS No 17%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 10%
Away Win & BTTS No 14%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 19%
Home Win & Under 2.5 28%
Draw & Over 2.5 12%
Draw & Under 2.5 17%
Away Win & Over 2.5 10%
Away Win & Under 2.5 14%
📋 Match History
Head to Head
02.05.26
PD
Libertad Asuncion
San Lorenzo
5
0
03.03.26
PD
San Lorenzo
Libertad Asuncion
0
7
20.09.23
COP
San Lorenzo
Libertad Asuncion
1
2
27.07.22
COP
San Lorenzo
Libertad Asuncion
1
2
21.11.20
PD
San Lorenzo
Libertad Asuncion
2
2
27.09.20
PD
Libertad Asuncion
San Lorenzo
3
0
25.07.20
PD
San Lorenzo
Libertad Asuncion
1
2
30.09.19
PD
Libertad Asuncion
San Lorenzo
3
0
14.07.19
PD
San Lorenzo
Libertad Asuncion
0
1
06.05.19
PD
San Lorenzo
Libertad Asuncion
3
4
Recent Results
Libertad Asuncion
20.08.26
COP
Tacuary
Libertad Asuncion (3-4)
0
0
16.08.26
PD
Sp. Luqueno
Libertad Asuncion
1
2
W
10.08.26
PD
Libertad Asuncion
Sportivo Trinidense
2
1
W
02.08.26
PD
Guarani
Libertad Asuncion
2
1
L
30.07.26
PD
Libertad Asuncion
Recoleta
4
1
W
26.07.26
PD
Olimpia Asuncion
Libertad Asuncion
0
1
W
27.05.26
COP
Libertad Asuncion
Universidad Central
0
1
L
24.05.26
PD
Nacional Asuncion
Libertad Asuncion
2
1
L
20.05.26
COP
Ind. del Valle
Libertad Asuncion
4
1
L
14.05.26
PD
Libertad Asuncion
2 de Mayo
0
0
D
San Lorenzo
16.08.26
PD
Cerro Porteno
San Lorenzo
1
0
L
12.08.26
COP
29 de Septiembre FBC
San Lorenzo (2-4)
1
1
09.08.26
PD
San Lorenzo
Sp. Luqueno
0
2
L
03.08.26
PD
Sportivo Trinidense
San Lorenzo
3
0
L
30.07.26
PD
San Lorenzo
Guarani
0
1
L
25.07.26
PD
Recoleta
San Lorenzo
1
1
D
22.05.26
PD
2 de Mayo
San Lorenzo
0
1
W
17.05.26
PD
San Lorenzo
Sp. Luqueno
0
0
D
10.05.26
PD
San Lorenzo
Olimpia Asuncion
1
0
W
02.05.26
PD
Libertad Asuncion
San Lorenzo
5
0
L
🎙 Expert Analysis

On Monday, 24th August 2026, Libertad Asuncion host San Lorenzo at Estadio Tigo La Huerta (Asunción) in Paraguay Copa De Primera. Our analysis points to Libertad Asuncion to win as the standout bet.

Libertad Asuncion come into this showing mixed form, with 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game.

San Lorenzo are struggling away from home — 2W 3D 5L in 10 games, scoring 0.4 and conceding 1.4 per match.

Historically, Libertad Asuncion have won 9 of the last 10 meetings against San Lorenzo, who have taken 0 victories, with 1 draws. Both teams scored in 50% of those games, averaging 3.9 goals.

With all factors considered, libertad asuncion to win at 1.38 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


Everyone says do your research. Almost nobody does it properly. Proper research means setting aside what you already think you know about both teams, reading only the verified recent evidence, and then checking that evidence against the price on offer. Applied honestly, that process produced this Paraguay Copa De Primera preview.

The hosts turn up on 4 wins, 1 loss from their last 5 games. That run is plain for the market to see, which means it is largely priced in already. The more revealing question is what those recent home games actually tell us — whether the manager’s setup is genuinely clicking, whether the strongest eleven has been fit and available, and whether the results have reflected real quality or a bit of fortune in one direction or the other. Sustainable form holds across a handful of matches. Flukes fade. Estadio Tigo La Huerta (Asunción) tends to sort the two quickly.

The visitors arrive on 1 win, 4 losses from their last 5 games. We went straight to the recent road record, because that is where the current truth lives for a travelling team. Are they pressing early and taking their chances with confidence, or do they need the comfort of home to find their best? Recent away results answer that without much ambiguity.

With both teams read carefully, the position we trust is 1 at @1.38, which the numbers put at around 50%. The match begins at 10:30 pm.

There is a full slate of predictions on the site today, each given the same honest treatment — worth a proper look before you decide where your stake belongs. It is worth repeating: the side that looks the part on paper and the side that turns up on the day are not always the same team, and recent form is the surest bridge between the two.

❓ Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Libertad Asuncion vs San Lorenzo?
Our top pick is 1 — Libertad Asuncion to win at around 1.38. Confidence: 57%.
What is Libertad Asuncion's recent form?
Libertad Asuncion have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 — inconsistent.
How has San Lorenzo been performing?
San Lorenzo: 2W 3D 5L from 10 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record?
Libertad Asuncion 9 wins vs San Lorenzo's 0, with 1 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 3.9 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.1 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 50%.
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