Official Match Programme · SurePredictionToday
🏆 Europa League Qualifier 📅 Thursday, 20th August 2026 ⏰ 5:00 pm 📍 Chorten Arena (Bialystok) ⏳ —
JAG
Jagiellonia
D L W W W
VS
IBE
Iberia 1999
L W D D W
GATE: PREDICTION ZONE ADMIT: 1 BETTOR REF #004411
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Jagiellonia to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.38
~50% implied
Confidence
58%
Solid Pick
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💸 Bettor Intelligence PRO
📊 Value Assessment
-22.5%
edge
No Value
Market implies 72.5% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -22.5% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
🔥 Form Streak Tracker
Jagiellonia
D L W W W W W W W D
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 80%
Iberia 1999
L W D D W L D W D W
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 40%
⚔ Head to Head
Mixed No H2H data on record.
📈 Recent Form
Jagiellonia wins7/10
Iberia 1999 wins4/10
Goals per game2.5
H2H avg goals
Supports Tip Jagiellonia: 7W 2D 1L from 10 games.
7-2-1
Jagiellonia form
4-4-2
Iberia 1999 form
H2H BTTS rate
H2H avg goals
⭐ Team Form Ratings
Jagiellonia
Overall
7.6
Scoring
3.7
Defence
8.0
Iberia 1999
Overall
5.2
Scoring
5.7
Defence
5.0
📐 Key Analytics
Jagiellonia
1.1
Goals
scored/game
0.6
Goals
conceded/game
50%
Clean
sheets
Iberia 1999
1.7
Goals
scored/game
1.5
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
🎯 Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 28%
Home Win & BTTS No 23%
Draw & BTTS Yes 12%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 16%
Away Win & BTTS No 13%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 23%
Home Win & Under 2.5 28%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 12%
Away Win & Over 2.5 13%
Away Win & Under 2.5 16%
📋 Match History
Head to Head

Awaiting data.

Recent Results
Jagiellonia
13.08.26
EL
Rangers
Jagiellonia
1
1
09.08.26
EKS
Jagiellonia
Widzew Lodz
0
2
L
06.08.26
EL
Jagiellonia
Rangers
2
1
31.07.26
EKS
Motor Lublin
Jagiellonia
1
2
W
26.07.26
CF
Jagiellonia
LKS Lomza
1
0
W
25.07.26
EKS
Jagiellonia
Korona Kielce
1
0
W
17.07.26
CF
Nordsjaelland
Jagiellonia
1
2
W
16.07.26
CF
Jagiellonia
Sparta Prague
1
0
W
12.07.26
CF
Jagiellonia
Pafos
1
0
W
09.07.26
CF
Polissya Zhytomyr
Jagiellonia
0
0
D
Iberia 1999
15.08.26
EL1
Torpedo Kutaisi
Iberia 1999
4
3
11.08.26
EL
Iberia 1999
Larne
2
1
04.08.26
EL
Larne
Iberia 1999
0
0
29.07.26
CL
Slovan Bratislava
Iberia 1999
1
1
24.07.26
CUP
Margveti 2006
Iberia 1999
1
3
W
21.07.26
CL
Iberia 1999
Slovan Bratislava
0
2
14.07.26
CL
Iberia 1999
Flora
2
2
08.07.26
CL
Flora
Iberia 1999
2
3
01.07.26
SC
Iberia 1999
Torpedo Kutaisi
2
2
27.06.26
SC
Iberia 1999
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
0
W
🎙 Expert Analysis

On Thursday, 20th August 2026, Jagiellonia host Iberia 1999 at Chorten Arena (Bialystok) in Europa League Qualifier. Our analysis points to Jagiellonia to win as the standout bet.

Jagiellonia come into this in strong form, with 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 1.1 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game.

Iberia 1999 are inconsistent on the road — 4W 4D 2L in 10 games, scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.5 per match.

With all factors considered, jagiellonia to win at 1.38 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


Everyone says do your research. Almost nobody does it properly. Proper research means setting aside what you already think you know about both teams, reading only the verified recent evidence, and then checking that evidence against the price on offer. Applied honestly, that process produced this Europa League Qualifier preview.

The hosts turn up on 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games. That run is plain for the market to see, which means it is largely priced in already. The more revealing question is what those recent home games actually tell us — whether the manager’s setup is genuinely clicking, whether the strongest eleven has been fit and available, and whether the results have reflected real quality or a bit of fortune in one direction or the other. Sustainable form holds across a handful of matches. Flukes fade. Chorten Arena (Bialystok) tends to sort the two quickly.

The visitors arrive on 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We went straight to the recent road record, because that is where the current truth lives for a travelling team. Are they pressing early and taking their chances with confidence, or do they need the comfort of home to find their best? Recent away results answer that without much ambiguity.

With both teams read carefully, the position we trust is 1 at @1.38, which the numbers put at around 50,30,20%. The match begins at 5:00 pm.

There is a full slate of predictions on the site today, each given the same honest treatment — worth a proper look before you decide where your stake belongs. It is worth repeating: the side that looks the part on paper and the side that turns up on the day are not always the same team, and recent form is the surest bridge between the two.

❓ Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Jagiellonia vs Iberia 1999?
Our top pick is 1 — Jagiellonia to win at around 1.38. Confidence: 58%.
What is Jagiellonia's recent form?
Jagiellonia have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 — very good form.
How has Iberia 1999 been performing?
Iberia 1999: 4W 4D 2L from 10 games — inconsistent.
What is the H2H record?
No recent H2H data available.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.5 goals.
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