Official Match Programme · SurePredictionToday
🏆 China Super League 📅 Tuesday, 18th August 2026 ⏰ 12:35 pm 📍 Shanghai Stadium (Shanghai) ⏳ —
SHA
Shanghai Shenhua
W W L L W
VS
BEI
Beijing Guoan
W W W D W
GATE: PREDICTION ZONE ADMIT: 1 BETTOR REF #004386
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
Over 2.5
We're backing over 2.5 goals in this fixture.
Odds
1.36
~80% implied
Confidence
70%
Strong Pick
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🎟 Today's Betslip SUPPORTING
★ Main Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals @1.36
Goals Over 2.5 65%
Goals Over 1.5 90%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

💸 Bettor Intelligence PRO
📊 Value Assessment
+6.5%
edge
Value Bet
The market prices this at 73.5% but our model gives it 80%. That's a +6.5% edge — statistically meaningful.
💰 Kelly Criterion
Strategy% of bankrolle.g. $1,000
Full Kelly 24.4% $244.00
Half Kelly 12.2% $122.00
Quarter Kelly 6.1% $61.00
Most professionals use Half or Quarter Kelly to manage variance. Full Kelly maximises expected growth but carries higher drawdown risk.
🔥 Form Streak Tracker
Shanghai Shenhua
W W L L W L W W W D
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 60%
Beijing Guoan
W W W D W D W W W W
🔥 Hot 4 in a row
Momentum 80%
⚔ Head to Head
Shanghai Shenhua3W
Draw4
Beijing Guoan3W
Supports Tip Over 2.5 goals in 60% of H2H meetings (avg 2.8).
📈 Recent Form
Shanghai Shenhua wins6/10
Beijing Guoan wins8/10
Goals per game3.4
H2H avg goals2.8
Supports Tip Over 2.5 goals in 65% of recent games.
6-1-3
Shanghai Shenhua form
8-2-0
Beijing Guoan form
90%
H2H BTTS rate
2.8
H2H avg goals
⭐ Team Form Ratings
Shanghai Shenhua
Overall
6.3
Scoring
7.0
Defence
5.3
Beijing Guoan
Overall
8.6
Scoring
7.7
Defence
6.7
📐 Key Analytics
Shanghai Shenhua
2.1
Goals
scored/game
1.4
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
Beijing Guoan
2.3
Goals
scored/game
1
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
🎯 Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 25%
Home Win & BTTS No 14%
Draw & BTTS Yes 7%
Draw & BTTS No 4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 33%
Away Win & BTTS No 18%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 25%
Home Win & Under 2.5 14%
Draw & Over 2.5 7%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 33%
Away Win & Under 2.5 18%
📋 Match History
Head to Head
21.03.26
SL
Beijing Guoan
Shanghai Shenhua
1
1
19.07.25
SL
Beijing Guoan
Shanghai Shenhua
1
3
01.03.25
SL
Shanghai Shenhua
Beijing Guoan
2
2
22.08.24
FAC
Shanghai Shenhua
Beijing Guoan
2
1
04.08.24
SL
Beijing Guoan
Shanghai Shenhua
2
1
13.04.24
SL
Shanghai Shenhua
Beijing Guoan
1
1
19.08.23
SL
Beijing Guoan
Shanghai Shenhua
2
1
19.05.23
SL
Shanghai Shenhua
Beijing Guoan
1
1
25.11.22
SL
Shanghai Shenhua
Beijing Guoan
1
2
26.08.22
SL
Beijing Guoan
Shanghai Shenhua
0
2
Recent Results
Shanghai Shenhua
15.08.26
SL
Shanghai Shenhua
Henan Songshan Longmen
4
1
W
08.08.26
SL
Qingdao Hainiu
Shanghai Shenhua
0
1
W
02.08.26
SL
Liaoning Tieren
Shanghai Shenhua
3
1
L
25.07.26
SL
Shanghai Port
Shanghai Shenhua
2
0
L
21.07.26
FAC
Shanghai Shenhua
Qingdao Hainiu
4
1
W
18.07.26
SL
Shanghai Shenhua
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
0
2
L
05.07.26
SL
Shanghai Shenhua
Zhejiang Professional
3
2
W
28.06.26
SL
Dalian Yingbo
Shanghai Shenhua
1
4
W
20.06.26
FAC
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
Shanghai Shenhua
0
2
W
30.05.26
SL
Qingdao West Coast
Shanghai Shenhua
2
2
D
Beijing Guoan
15.08.26
SL
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
Beijing Guoan
2
4
W
07.08.26
SL
Beijing Guoan
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
4
0
W
01.08.26
SL
Beijing Guoan
Zhejiang Professional
2
1
W
26.07.26
SL
Chengdu Rongcheng
Beijing Guoan
2
2
D
21.07.26
FAC
Dalian Kewei
Beijing Guoan
1
2
W
17.07.26
SL
Beijing Guoan
Liaoning Tieren
1
1
D
04.07.26
SL
Beijing Guoan
Shandong Taishan
2
0
W
27.06.26
SL
Beijing Guoan
Wuhan Three Towns
1
0
W
19.06.26
FAC
Guangdong GZ-Power
Beijing Guoan
1
2
W
30.05.26
SL
Chongqing Tonglianglong
Beijing Guoan
2
3
W
Venue Records
Shanghai Shenhua at Home
15.08.26
SL
Shanghai Shenhua
Henan Songshan Longmen
4
1
W
21.07.26
FAC
Shanghai Shenhua
Qingdao Hainiu
4
1
W
18.07.26
SL
Shanghai Shenhua
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
0
2
L
05.07.26
SL
Shanghai Shenhua
Zhejiang Professional
3
2
W
24.05.26
SL
Shanghai Shenhua
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
1
2
L
20.05.26
SL
Shanghai Shenhua
Wuhan Three Towns
2
2
D
09.05.26
SL
Shanghai Shenhua
Chongqing Tonglianglong
2
2
D
01.05.26
SL
Shanghai Shenhua
Chengdu Rongcheng
2
3
L
22.04.26
SL
Shanghai Shenhua
Qingdao Hainiu
2
0
W
18.04.26
SL
Shanghai Shenhua
Liaoning Tieren
3
1
W
Beijing Guoan Away
15.08.26
SL
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
Beijing Guoan
2
4
W
26.07.26
SL
Chengdu Rongcheng
Beijing Guoan
2
2
D
21.07.26
FAC
Dalian Kewei
Beijing Guoan
1
2
W
19.06.26
FAC
Guangdong GZ-Power
Beijing Guoan
1
2
W
30.05.26
SL
Chongqing Tonglianglong
Beijing Guoan
2
3
W
19.05.26
SL
Qingdao West Coast
Beijing Guoan
1
1
D
02.05.26
SL
Yunnan Yukun
Beijing Guoan
3
3
D
21.04.26
SL
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
Beijing Guoan
0
1
W
17.04.26
SL
Zhejiang Professional
Beijing Guoan
0
0
D
04.04.26
SL
Liaoning Tieren
Beijing Guoan
2
1
L
🎙 Expert Analysis

On Tuesday, 18th August 2026, Shanghai Shenhua host Beijing Guoan at Shanghai Stadium (Shanghai) in China Super League. Our analysis points to over 2.5 goals as the standout bet.

Shanghai Shenhua come into this showing mixed form, with 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 2.1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game.

Beijing Guoan are travelling well — 8W 2D 0L in 10 games, scoring 2.3 and conceding 1 per match.

Historically, Shanghai Shenhua have won 3 of the last 10 meetings against Beijing Guoan, who have taken 3 victories, with 4 draws. Both teams scored in 90% of those games, averaging 2.8 goals.

With all factors considered, over 2.5 goals at 1.36 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


Everyone says do your research. Almost nobody does it properly. Proper research means setting aside what you already think you know about both teams, reading only the verified recent evidence, and then checking that evidence against the price on offer. Applied honestly, that process produced this China Super League preview.

The hosts turn up on 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games. That run is plain for the market to see, which means it is largely priced in already. The more revealing question is what those recent home games actually tell us — whether the manager’s setup is genuinely clicking, whether the strongest eleven has been fit and available, and whether the results have reflected real quality or a bit of fortune in one direction or the other. Sustainable form holds across a handful of matches. Flukes fade. Shanghai Stadium (Shanghai) tends to sort the two quickly.

The visitors arrive on 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games. We went straight to the recent road record, because that is where the current truth lives for a travelling team. Are they pressing early and taking their chances with confidence, or do they need the comfort of home to find their best? Recent away results answer that without much ambiguity.

With both teams read carefully, the position we trust is Over 2.5 at @1.36, which the numbers put at around 80%. The match begins at 12:35 pm.

There is a full slate of predictions on the site today, each given the same honest treatment — worth a proper look before you decide where your stake belongs. It is worth repeating: the side that looks the part on paper and the side that turns up on the day are not always the same team, and recent form is the surest bridge between the two.

❓ Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Shanghai Shenhua vs Beijing Guoan?
Our top pick is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals at around 1.36. Confidence: 70%.
What is Shanghai Shenhua's recent form?
Shanghai Shenhua have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 — decent form.
How has Beijing Guoan been performing?
Beijing Guoan: 8W 2D 0L from 10 games — very good form.
What is the H2H record?
Shanghai Shenhua 3 wins vs Beijing Guoan's 3, with 4 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 2.8 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3.4 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 90%.
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