Official Match Programme · SurePredictionToday
🏆 Hungary NB 1 📅 Sunday, 16th August 2026 ⏰ 4:30 pm 📍 Pancho Arena (Felcsút) ⏳ —
PUS
Puskas Academy
W L W L D
VS
PAK
Paks
D L D W L
GATE: PREDICTION ZONE ADMIT: 1 BETTOR REF #004367
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
Over 2.5
We're backing over 2.5 goals in this fixture.
Odds
1.38
~80% implied
Confidence
73%
Strong Pick
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🎟 Today's Betslip SUPPORTING
★ Main Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals @1.38
Goals Over 2.5 65%
Goals Over 1.5 90%
H2H Over 2.5 70%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

💸 Bettor Intelligence PRO
📊 Value Assessment
+7.5%
edge
Value Bet
The market prices this at 72.5% but our model gives it 80%. That's a +7.5% edge — statistically meaningful.
💰 Kelly Criterion
Strategy% of bankrolle.g. $1,000
Full Kelly 27.4% $274.00
Half Kelly 13.7% $137.00
Quarter Kelly 6.9% $69.00
Most professionals use Half or Quarter Kelly to manage variance. Full Kelly maximises expected growth but carries higher drawdown risk.
🔥 Form Streak Tracker
Puskas Academy
W L W L D W D W W L
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 60%
Paks
D L D W L L W W L D
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 40%
⚔ Head to Head
Puskas Academy3W
Draw1
Paks6W
Supports Tip Over 2.5 goals in 70% of H2H meetings (avg 3.2).
📈 Recent Form
Puskas Academy wins5/10
Paks wins3/10
Goals per game3.8
H2H avg goals3.2
Supports Tip Over 2.5 goals in 65% of recent games.
5-2-3
Puskas Academy form
3-3-4
Paks form
60%
H2H BTTS rate
3.2
H2H avg goals
⭐ Team Form Ratings
Puskas Academy
Overall
5.6
Scoring
4.7
Defence
6.3
Paks
Overall
3.9
Scoring
8.0
Defence
1.3
📐 Key Analytics
Puskas Academy
1.4
Goals
scored/game
1.1
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
Paks
2.4
Goals
scored/game
2.6
Goals
conceded/game
10%
Clean
sheets
🎯 Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 29%
Home Win & BTTS No 19%
Draw & BTTS Yes 14%
Draw & BTTS No 10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 17%
Away Win & BTTS No 11%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 31%
Home Win & Under 2.5 17%
Draw & Over 2.5 16%
Draw & Under 2.5 8%
Away Win & Over 2.5 18%
Away Win & Under 2.5 10%
📋 Match History
Head to Head
19.04.26
NBI
Paks
Puskas Academy
1
0
24.01.26
NBI
Puskas Academy
Paks
1
2
27.09.25
NBI
Paks
Puskas Academy
3
2
19.04.25
NBI
Paks
Puskas Academy
2
2
14.12.24
NBI
Puskas Academy
Paks
3
1
01.09.24
NBI
Paks
Puskas Academy
2
1
20.04.24
NBI
Puskas Academy
Paks
5
0
04.02.24
NBI
Paks
Puskas Academy
2
1
23.09.23
NBI
Puskas Academy
Paks
0
2
19.05.23
NBI
Paks
Puskas Academy
0
2
Recent Results
Puskas Academy
07.08.26
NBI
MTK Budapest
Puskas Academy
2
3
W
31.07.26
NBI
Puskas Academy
Kisvarda
0
2
L
26.07.26
NBI
Debrecen
Puskas Academy
0
2
W
16.07.26
CF
Puskas Academy
Basaksehir
0
2
L
11.07.26
CF
Puskas Academy
BW Linz
1
1
D
04.07.26
CF
Puskas Academy
Slovan Bratislava
1
0
W
15.05.26
NBI
Puskas Academy
MTK Budapest
2
2
D
01.05.26
NBI
Zalaegerszegi
Puskas Academy
1
3
W
25.04.26
NBI
Puskas Academy
Ujpest
2
0
W
19.04.26
NBI
Paks
Puskas Academy
1
0
L
Paks
09.08.26
NBI
Paks
Honved
2
2
D
03.08.26
NBI
Zalaegerszegi
Paks
5
2
L
30.07.26
UECL
Panathinaikos
Paks
2
2
D
26.07.26
NBI
Paks
Ferencvaros
4
2
W
23.07.26
UECL
Paks
Panathinaikos
1
2
L
17.07.26
CF
Austria Vienna
Paks
4
1
L
16.07.26
CF
Paks
Slaven Belupo
5
3
W
14.07.26
CF
Hap. Ramat Gan
Paks
0
4
W
11.07.26
CF
Paks
Kozarmisleny SE
0
3
L
08.07.26
CF
Maccabi Haifa
Paks
3
3
D
🎙 Expert Analysis

On Sunday, 16th August 2026, Puskas Academy host Paks at Pancho Arena (Felcsút) in Hungary NB 1. Our analysis points to over 2.5 goals as the standout bet.

Puskas Academy come into this showing mixed form, with 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 1.4 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game.

Paks are struggling away from home — 3W 3D 4L in 10 games, scoring 2.4 and conceding 2.6 per match.

Historically, Puskas Academy have won 3 of the last 10 meetings against Paks, who have taken 6 victories, with 1 draws. Both teams scored in 60% of those games, averaging 3.2 goals.

With all factors considered, over 2.5 goals at 1.38 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


Everyone says do your research. Almost nobody does it properly. Proper research means setting aside what you already think you know about both teams, reading only the verified recent evidence, and then checking that evidence against the price on offer. Applied honestly, that process produced this Hungary NB 1 preview.

The hosts turn up on 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. That run is plain for the market to see, which means it is largely priced in already. The more revealing question is what those recent home games actually tell us — whether the manager’s setup is genuinely clicking, whether the strongest eleven has been fit and available, and whether the results have reflected real quality or a bit of fortune in one direction or the other. Sustainable form holds across a handful of matches. Flukes fade. Pancho Arena (Felcsút) tends to sort the two quickly.

The visitors arrive on 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We went straight to the recent road record, because that is where the current truth lives for a travelling team. Are they pressing early and taking their chances with confidence, or do they need the comfort of home to find their best? Recent away results answer that without much ambiguity.

With both teams read carefully, the position we trust is Over 2.5 at @1.38, which the numbers put at around 80%. The match begins at 4:30 pm.

There is a full slate of predictions on the site today, each given the same honest treatment — worth a proper look before you decide where your stake belongs. It is worth repeating: the side that looks the part on paper and the side that turns up on the day are not always the same team, and recent form is the surest bridge between the two.

❓ Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Puskas Academy vs Paks?
Our top pick is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals at around 1.38. Confidence: 73%.
What is Puskas Academy's recent form?
Puskas Academy have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 — decent form.
How has Paks been performing?
Paks: 3W 3D 4L from 10 games — inconsistent.
What is the H2H record?
Puskas Academy 3 wins vs Paks's 6, with 1 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 3.2 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3.8 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 60%.
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