Official Match Programme · SurePredictionToday
🏆 Estonia Meistriliiga 📅 Sunday, 16th August 2026 ⏰ 5:00 pm 📍 A. Le Coq Arena (Tallinn) ⏳ —
FLO
Flora
L L W W W
VS
KUR
Kuressaare
W W L W D
GATE: PREDICTION ZONE ADMIT: 1 BETTOR REF #004364
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Flora to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.31
~50% implied
Confidence
59%
Solid Pick
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🎟 Today's Betslip SUPPORTING
★ Main 1 — Flora to win @1.31
H2H Over 2.5 80%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

💸 Bettor Intelligence PRO
📊 Value Assessment
-26.3%
edge
No Value
Market implies 76.3% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -26.3% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
🔥 Form Streak Tracker
Flora
L L W W L D L W W
〰 Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 40%
Kuressaare
W W L W D L L L D W
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 20%
⚔ Head to Head
Flora9W
Draw1
Kuressaare0W
Supports Tip Flora won 9 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Flora wins4/9
Kuressaare wins4/10
Goals per game3.2
H2H avg goals3.5
Mixed Flora: 4W 1D 4L from 9 games.
4-1-4
Flora form
4-2-4
Kuressaare form
50%
H2H BTTS rate
3.5
H2H avg goals
⭐ Team Form Ratings
Flora
Overall
4.8
Scoring
4.4
Defence
4.8
Kuressaare
Overall
4.6
Scoring
7.0
Defence
5.7
📐 Key Analytics
Flora
1.3
Goals
scored/game
1.6
Goals
conceded/game
33%
Clean
sheets
Kuressaare
2.1
Goals
scored/game
1.3
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
🎯 Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 18%
Home Win & BTTS No 26%
Draw & BTTS Yes 7%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 17%
Away Win & BTTS No 23%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 28%
Home Win & Under 2.5 16%
Draw & Over 2.5 10%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 25%
Away Win & Under 2.5 15%
📋 Match History
Head to Head
02.07.26
ML
Kuressaare
Flora
0
3
07.04.26
ML
Flora
Kuressaare
2
1
01.11.25
ML
Flora
Kuressaare
2
0
24.08.25
ML
Kuressaare
Flora
1
2
27.05.25
ML
Kuressaare
Flora
1
3
29.03.25
ML
Flora
Kuressaare
5
0
26.10.24
ML
Flora
Kuressaare
3
0
14.09.24
ML
Kuressaare
Flora
3
4
21.05.24
ML
Flora
Kuressaare
1
0
27.04.24
ML
Kuressaare
Flora
2
2
Recent Results
Flora
13.08.26
UECL
Flora
Inter Escaldes
0
4
L
06.08.26
UECL
Inter Escaldes
Flora
2
0
L
02.08.26
ML
Flora
Harju JK Laagri
1
0
W
23.07.26
UECL
Flora
TNS
1
0
W
17.07.26
ML
Flora
Nomme Utd
1
2
L
14.07.26
CL
Iberia 1999
Flora
2
2
D
08.07.26
CL
Flora
Iberia 1999
2
3
L
02.07.26
ML
Kuressaare
Flora
0
3
W
28.06.26
ML
Levadia
Flora
1
2
W
Kuressaare
11.08.26
CUP
Kristiine
Kuressaare
0
8
W
07.08.26
ML
Kuressaare
Harju JK Laagri
3
2
W
02.08.26
ML
Paide
Kuressaare
1
0
L
23.07.26
CUP
Kuressaare
Tartu Welco 2
5
1
W
19.07.26
ML
Kuressaare
Kalju
0
0
D
11.07.26
ML
Nomme Utd
Kuressaare
3
2
L
02.07.26
ML
Kuressaare
Flora
0
3
L
26.06.26
ML
Parnu JK Vaprus
Kuressaare
1
0
L
16.06.26
ML
Kuressaare
Narva
0
0
D
13.06.26
ML
Harju JK Laagri
Kuressaare
2
3
W
Venue Records
Flora at Home
13.08.26
UECL
Flora
Inter Escaldes
0
4
L
02.08.26
ML
Flora
Harju JK Laagri
1
0
W
23.07.26
UECL
Flora
TNS
1
0
W
17.07.26
ML
Flora
Nomme Utd
1
2
L
08.07.26
CL
Flora
Iberia 1999
2
3
L
21.06.26
ML
Flora
Paide
1
2
L
13.06.26
ML
Flora
Levadia
1
3
L
05.05.26
CUP
Flora
Narva
1
0
W
30.04.26
ML
Flora
Harju JK Laagri
5
0
W
22.04.26
ML
Flora
Narva
6
0
W
Kuressaare Away
11.08.26
CUP
Kristiine
Kuressaare
0
8
W
02.08.26
ML
Paide
Kuressaare
1
0
L
11.07.26
ML
Nomme Utd
Kuressaare
3
2
L
26.06.26
ML
Parnu JK Vaprus
Kuressaare
1
0
L
13.06.26
ML
Harju JK Laagri
Kuressaare
2
3
W
31.05.26
ML
Paide
Kuressaare
1
1
D
08.05.26
ML
Tammeka
Kuressaare
1
0
L
25.04.26
ML
Nomme Utd
Kuressaare
2
1
L
18.04.26
ML
Narva
Kuressaare
1
2
W
07.04.26
ML
Flora
Kuressaare
2
1
L
🎙 Expert Analysis

On Sunday, 16th August 2026, Flora host Kuressaare at A. Le Coq Arena (Tallinn) in Estonia Meistriliiga. Our analysis points to Flora to win as the standout bet.

Flora come into this showing mixed form, with 4 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses from their last 9 matches. They average 1.3 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game.

Kuressaare are inconsistent on the road — 4W 2D 4L in 10 games, scoring 2.1 and conceding 1.3 per match.

Historically, Flora have won 9 of the last 10 meetings against Kuressaare, who have taken 0 victories, with 1 draws. Both teams scored in 50% of those games, averaging 3.5 goals.

With all factors considered, flora to win at 1.31 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


Everyone says do your research. Almost nobody does it properly. Proper research means setting aside what you already think you know about both teams, reading only the verified recent evidence, and then checking that evidence against the price on offer. Applied honestly, that process produced this Estonia Meistriliiga preview.

The hosts turn up on 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games. That run is plain for the market to see, which means it is largely priced in already. The more revealing question is what those recent home games actually tell us — whether the manager’s setup is genuinely clicking, whether the strongest eleven has been fit and available, and whether the results have reflected real quality or a bit of fortune in one direction or the other. Sustainable form holds across a handful of matches. Flukes fade. A. Le Coq Arena (Tallinn) tends to sort the two quickly.

The visitors arrive on 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We went straight to the recent road record, because that is where the current truth lives for a travelling team. Are they pressing early and taking their chances with confidence, or do they need the comfort of home to find their best? Recent away results answer that without much ambiguity.

With both teams read carefully, the position we trust is 1 at @1.31, which the numbers put at around 50,30,20%. The match begins at 5:00 pm.

There is a full slate of predictions on the site today, each given the same honest treatment — worth a proper look before you decide where your stake belongs. It is worth repeating: the side that looks the part on paper and the side that turns up on the day are not always the same team, and recent form is the surest bridge between the two.

❓ Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Flora vs Kuressaare?
Our top pick is 1 — Flora to win at around 1.31. Confidence: 59%.
What is Flora's recent form?
Flora have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 9 — inconsistent.
How has Kuressaare been performing?
Kuressaare: 4W 2D 4L from 10 games — inconsistent.
What is the H2H record?
Flora 9 wins vs Kuressaare's 0, with 1 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 3.5 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3.2 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 50%.
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