Official Match Programme · SurePredictionToday
🏆 Liga Portugal 📅 Friday, 14th August 2026 ⏰ 8:15 pm 📍 Estádio José Alvalade (Lisbon) ⏳ —
SPO
Sporting CP
D W W W W
VS
VIT
Vitoria Guimaraes
L D W D W
GATE: PREDICTION ZONE ADMIT: 1 BETTOR REF #004325
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Sporting CP to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.25
~50% implied
Confidence
61%
Solid Pick
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🎟 Today's Betslip SUPPORTING
★ Main 1 — Sporting CP to win @1.25
Goals Over 1.5 90%
H2H Over 2.5 80%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

💸 Bettor Intelligence PRO
📊 Value Assessment
-30%
edge
No Value
Market implies 80% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -30% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
🔥 Form Streak Tracker
Sporting CP
D W W W W L W W W D
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 60%
Vitoria Guimaraes
L D W D W W W W L L
〰 Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 60%
⚔ Head to Head
Sporting CP7W
Draw1
Vitoria Guimaraes2W
Supports Tip Sporting CP won 7 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Sporting CP wins7/10
Vitoria Guimaraes wins5/10
Goals per game3.5
H2H avg goals4.1
Supports Tip Sporting CP: 7W 2D 1L from 10 games.
7-2-1
Sporting CP form
5-2-3
Vitoria Guimaraes form
60%
H2H BTTS rate
4.1
H2H avg goals
⭐ Team Form Ratings
Sporting CP
Overall
7.6
Scoring
10.0
Defence
6.7
Vitoria Guimaraes
Overall
5.6
Scoring
5.7
Defence
7.3
📐 Key Analytics
Sporting CP
3.4
Goals
scored/game
1
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
Vitoria Guimaraes
1.7
Goals
scored/game
0.8
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
🎯 Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 28%
Home Win & BTTS No 23%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 20%
Away Win & BTTS No 16%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 30%
Home Win & Under 2.5 20%
Draw & Over 2.5 8%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 22%
Away Win & Under 2.5 14%
📋 Match History
Head to Head
04.05.26
LP
Sporting CP
Vitoria Guimaraes
5
1
06.01.26
CUP
Sporting CP
Vitoria Guimaraes
1
2
23.12.25
LP
Vitoria Guimaraes
Sporting CP
1
4
17.05.25
LP
Sporting CP
Vitoria Guimaraes
2
0
03.01.25
LP
Vitoria Guimaraes
Sporting CP
4
4
21.04.24
LP
Sporting CP
Vitoria Guimaraes
3
0
09.12.23
LP
Vitoria Guimaraes
Sporting CP
3
2
24.04.23
LP
Vitoria Guimaraes
Sporting CP
0
2
05.11.22
LP
Sporting CP
Vitoria Guimaraes
3
0
19.03.22
LP
Vitoria Guimaraes
Sporting CP
1
3
Recent Results
Sporting CP
08.08.26
LP
Estrela
Sporting CP
2
2
D
31.07.26
CF
Sporting CP
Nottingham
4
1
W
25.07.26
CF
Sporting CP
Monaco
2
0
W
20.07.26
CF
Sporting CP
Strasbourg
7
0
W
14.07.26
CF
Sporting CP
Celtic
4
1
W
24.05.26
TP
Sporting CP
Torreense
1
2
L
16.05.26
LP
Sporting CP
Gil Vicente
3
0
W
11.05.26
LP
Rio Ave
Sporting CP
1
4
W
04.05.26
LP
Sporting CP
Vitoria Guimaraes
5
1
W
29.04.26
LP
Sporting CP
Tondela
2
2
D
Vitoria Guimaraes
08.08.26
LP
Vitoria Guimaraes
Arouca
0
1
L
02.08.26
CF
Varzim
Vitoria Guimaraes
1
1
D
01.08.26
CF
Vitoria Guimaraes
Chaves
2
0
W
26.07.26
CF
Vitoria Guimaraes
Nottingham
1
1
D
24.07.26
CF
Al Ahli SC
Vitoria Guimaraes
1
3
W
18.07.26
CF
Vitoria Guimaraes
Academica
2
0
W
18.07.26
CF
Vitoria Guimaraes
Penafiel
5
0
W
11.07.26
CF
Vitoria Guimaraes
Felgueiras
3
1
W
16.05.26
LP
Nacional
Vitoria Guimaraes
2
0
L
11.05.26
LP
Vitoria Guimaraes
Casa Pia
0
1
L
🎙 Expert Analysis

On Friday, 14th August 2026, Sporting CP host Vitoria Guimaraes at Estádio José Alvalade (Lisbon) in Liga Portugal. Our analysis points to Sporting CP to win as the standout bet.

Sporting CP come into this in strong form, with 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 3.4 goals scored and 1 conceded per game.

Vitoria Guimaraes are inconsistent on the road — 5W 2D 3L in 10 games, scoring 1.7 and conceding 0.8 per match.

Historically, Sporting CP have won 7 of the last 10 meetings against Vitoria Guimaraes, who have taken 2 victories, with 1 draws. Both teams scored in 60% of those games, averaging 4.1 goals.

With all factors considered, sporting cp to win at 1.25 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


Everyone says do your research. Almost nobody does it properly. Proper research means setting aside what you already think you know about both teams, reading only the verified recent evidence, and then checking that evidence against the price on offer. Applied honestly, that process produced this Liga Portugal preview.

The hosts turn up on 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games. That run is plain for the market to see, which means it is largely priced in already. The more revealing question is what those recent home games actually tell us — whether the manager’s setup is genuinely clicking, whether the strongest eleven has been fit and available, and whether the results have reflected real quality or a bit of fortune in one direction or the other. Sustainable form holds across a handful of matches. Flukes fade. Estádio José Alvalade (Lisbon) tends to sort the two quickly.

The visitors arrive on 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We went straight to the recent road record, because that is where the current truth lives for a travelling team. Are they pressing early and taking their chances with confidence, or do they need the comfort of home to find their best? Recent away results answer that without much ambiguity.

With both teams read carefully, the position we trust is 1 at @1.25, which the numbers put at around 50,30,20%. The match begins at 8:15 pm.

There is a full slate of predictions on the site today, each given the same honest treatment — worth a proper look before you decide where your stake belongs. It is worth repeating: the side that looks the part on paper and the side that turns up on the day are not always the same team, and recent form is the surest bridge between the two.

❓ Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Sporting CP vs Vitoria Guimaraes?
Our top pick is 1 — Sporting CP to win at around 1.25. Confidence: 61%.
What is Sporting CP's recent form?
Sporting CP have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 — very good form.
How has Vitoria Guimaraes been performing?
Vitoria Guimaraes: 5W 2D 3L from 10 games — decent form.
What is the H2H record?
Sporting CP 7 wins vs Vitoria Guimaraes's 2, with 1 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 4.1 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3.5 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 60%.
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