Official Match Programme · SurePredictionToday
🏆 Russia Premier League 📅 Monday, 10th August 2026 ⏰ 5:30 pm 📍 Fakel Stadium (Voronezh) ⏳ —
FAK
Fakel Voronezh
L L L L D
VS
AKH
Akhmat Grozny
L L D W W
GATE: PREDICTION ZONE ADMIT: 1 BETTOR REF #004278
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
Over 1.5
We're backing over 1.5 goals in this fixture.
Odds
1.34
~90% implied
Confidence
86%
Strong Pick
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💸 Bettor Intelligence PRO
📊 Value Assessment
+15.4%
edge
Value Bet
The market prices this at 74.6% but our model gives it 90%. That's a +15.4% edge — statistically meaningful.
💰 Kelly Criterion
Strategy% of bankrolle.g. $1,000
Full Kelly 60.6% $606.00
Half Kelly 30.3% $303.00
Quarter Kelly 15.2% $152.00
Most professionals use Half or Quarter Kelly to manage variance. Full Kelly maximises expected growth but carries higher drawdown risk.
🔥 Form Streak Tracker
Fakel Voronezh
L L L L D W W D W D
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 60%
Akhmat Grozny
L D W W W D W W D
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 60%
⚔ Head to Head
Fakel Voronezh5W
Draw3
Akhmat Grozny1W
Supports Tip Over 1.5 goals in 89% of H2H meetings (avg 3.1).
📈 Recent Form
Fakel Voronezh wins3/10
Akhmat Grozny wins5/9
Goals per game2.5
H2H avg goals3.1
Supports Tip Over 1.5 goals in 79% of recent games.
3-3-4
Fakel Voronezh form
5-3-1
Akhmat Grozny form
78%
H2H BTTS rate
3.1
H2H avg goals
⭐ Team Form Ratings
Fakel Voronezh
Overall
3.9
Scoring
5.0
Defence
6.0
Akhmat Grozny
Overall
6.6
Scoring
5.6
Defence
7.8
📐 Key Analytics
Fakel Voronezh
1.5
Goals
scored/game
1.2
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
Akhmat Grozny
1.7
Goals
scored/game
0.7
Goals
conceded/game
44%
Clean
sheets
🎯 Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 15%
Home Win & BTTS No 11%
Draw & BTTS Yes 16%
Draw & BTTS No 11%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 28%
Away Win & BTTS No 20%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 13%
Home Win & Under 2.5 12%
Draw & Over 2.5 14%
Draw & Under 2.5 13%
Away Win & Over 2.5 25%
Away Win & Under 2.5 23%
📋 Match History
Head to Head
05.04.25
PL
Fakel Voronezh
Akhmat Grozny
0
0
18.10.24
PL
Akhmat Grozny
Fakel Voronezh
2
3
25.05.24
PL
Fakel Voronezh
Akhmat Grozny
2
0
04.11.23
PL
Akhmat Grozny
Fakel Voronezh
1
2
16.04.23
PL
Fakel Voronezh
Akhmat Grozny
1
1
24.07.22
PL
Akhmat Grozny
Fakel Voronezh
2
1
06.02.22
CF
Fakel Voronezh
Akhmat Grozny
3
3
26.09.06
FNL
Fakel Voronezh
Akhmat Grozny
2
1
07.06.06
FNL
Akhmat Grozny
Fakel Voronezh
1
3
Recent Results
Fakel Voronezh
05.08.26
CUP
Fakel Voronezh
Dynamo Moscow
0
1
L
02.08.26
PL
Krasnodar
Fakel Voronezh
3
2
L
25.07.26
PL
Fakel Voronezh
Dynamo Makhachkala
1
2
L
15.07.26
CF
FK Rostov
Fakel Voronezh
2
1
L
11.07.26
CF
Akron Togliatti
Fakel Voronezh
1
1
D
07.07.26
CF
Fakel Voronezh
FK Rostov
3
1
W
16.05.26
FNL
Ulyanovsk
Fakel Voronezh
0
3
W
08.05.26
FNL
Fakel Voronezh
SKA Khabarovsk
0
0
D
03.05.26
FNL
Fakel Voronezh
Yenisey
2
0
W
27.04.26
FNL
Torpedo Moscow
Fakel Voronezh
2
2
D
Akhmat Grozny
02.08.26
PL
Akhmat Grozny
Spartak Moscow
1
2
L
26.07.26
PL
Lokomotiv Moscow
Akhmat Grozny
1
1
D
16.07.26
CF
Akhmat Grozny
Ajman
1
0
W
14.07.26
CF
Radnik Bijeljina
Akhmat Grozny
0
3
W
11.07.26
CF
IMT Novi Beograd
Akhmat Grozny
0
1
W
04.07.26
CF
Novi Pazar
Akhmat Grozny
1
1
D
29.06.26
CF
Akhmat Grozny
Borac Banja Luka
3
1
W
27.06.26
CF
Akhmat Grozny
OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet
3
0
W
17.05.26
PL
Sochi
Akhmat Grozny
1
1
D
🎙 Expert Analysis

On Monday, 10th August 2026, Fakel Voronezh host Akhmat Grozny at Fakel Stadium (Voronezh) in Russia Premier League. Our analysis points to over 1.5 goals as the standout bet.

Fakel Voronezh come into this going through a difficult run, with 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 1.5 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game.

Akhmat Grozny are inconsistent on the road — 5W 3D 1L in 9 games, scoring 1.7 and conceding 0.7 per match.

Historically, Fakel Voronezh have won 5 of the last 9 meetings against Akhmat Grozny, who have taken 1 victories, with 3 draws. Both teams scored in 78% of those games, averaging 3.1 goals.

With all factors considered, over 1.5 goals at 1.34 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


Everyone says do your research. Almost nobody does it properly. Proper research means setting aside what you already think you know about both teams, reading only the verified recent evidence, and then checking that evidence against the price on offer. Applied honestly, that process produced this Russia Premier League preview.

The hosts turn up on 1 draw, 4 losses from their last 5 games. That run is plain for the market to see, which means it is largely priced in already. The more revealing question is what those recent home games actually tell us — whether the manager’s setup is genuinely clicking, whether the strongest eleven has been fit and available, and whether the results have reflected real quality or a bit of fortune in one direction or the other. Sustainable form holds across a handful of matches. Flukes fade. Fakel Stadium (Voronezh) tends to sort the two quickly.

The visitors arrive on 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We went straight to the recent road record, because that is where the current truth lives for a travelling team. Are they pressing early and taking their chances with confidence, or do they need the comfort of home to find their best? Recent away results answer that without much ambiguity.

With both teams read carefully, the position we trust is Over 1.5 at @1.34, which the numbers put at around 90%. The match begins at 5:30 pm.

There is a full slate of predictions on the site today, each given the same honest treatment — worth a proper look before you decide where your stake belongs. It is worth repeating: the side that looks the part on paper and the side that turns up on the day are not always the same team, and recent form is the surest bridge between the two.

❓ Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Fakel Voronezh vs Akhmat Grozny?
Our top pick is Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals at around 1.34. Confidence: 86%.
What is Fakel Voronezh's recent form?
Fakel Voronezh have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 — inconsistent.
How has Akhmat Grozny been performing?
Akhmat Grozny: 5W 3D 1L from 9 games — decent form.
What is the H2H record?
Fakel Voronezh 5 wins vs Akhmat Grozny's 1, with 3 draws in 9 meetings. Avg 3.1 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.5 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 78%.
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