Official Match Programme · SurePredictionToday
🏆 Latvia Virsliga 📅 Monday, 10th August 2026 ⏰ 5:30 pm 📍 LNK Sporta Parks (Riga) ⏳ —
RFS
RFS
L D W W W
VS
GRO
Grobina
L D L W W
GATE: PREDICTION ZONE ADMIT: 1 BETTOR REF #004275
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
Over 2.5
We're backing over 2.5 goals in this fixture.
Odds
1.37
~90% implied
Confidence
72%
Strong Pick
18+ · Gamble responsibly · Tips are not guarantees · GambleAware · GamCare
🎟 Today's Betslip SUPPORTING
★ Main Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals @1.37
Goals Under 2.5 65%
H2H Over 2.5 82%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

💸 Bettor Intelligence PRO
📊 Value Assessment
+17%
edge
Value Bet
The market prices this at 73% but our model gives it 90%. That's a +17% edge — statistically meaningful.
💰 Kelly Criterion
Strategy% of bankrolle.g. $1,000
Full Kelly 63% $630.00
Half Kelly 31.5% $315.00
Quarter Kelly 15.8% $158.00
Most professionals use Half or Quarter Kelly to manage variance. Full Kelly maximises expected growth but carries higher drawdown risk.
🔥 Form Streak Tracker
RFS
L D W W W W W W D W
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 80%
Grobina
L D L W W L D L W L
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 20%
⚔ Head to Head
RFS11W
Draw0
Grobina0W
Supports Tip Over 2.5 goals in 82% of H2H meetings (avg 4.1).
📈 Recent Form
RFS wins7/10
Grobina wins3/10
Goals per game2.4
H2H avg goals4.1
Caution Over 2.5 goals in 35% of recent games.
7-2-1
RFS form
3-2-5
Grobina form
36%
H2H BTTS rate
4.1
H2H avg goals
⭐ Team Form Ratings
RFS
Overall
7.6
Scoring
5.7
Defence
7.7
Grobina
Overall
3.6
Scoring
2.7
Defence
5.0
📐 Key Analytics
RFS
1.7
Goals
scored/game
0.7
Goals
conceded/game
40%
Clean
sheets
Grobina
0.8
Goals
scored/game
1.5
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
🎯 Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 23%
Home Win & BTTS No 35%
Draw & BTTS Yes 7%
Draw & BTTS No 10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 10%
Away Win & BTTS No 15%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 20%
Home Win & Under 2.5 38%
Draw & Over 2.5 6%
Draw & Under 2.5 11%
Away Win & Over 2.5 9%
Away Win & Under 2.5 16%
📋 Match History
Head to Head
13.06.26
VIR
Grobina
RFS
1
3
22.04.26
VIR
Grobina
RFS
0
1
21.01.26
CF
RFS
Grobina
3
2
26.10.25
VIR
RFS
Grobina
5
0
03.08.25
VIR
Grobina
RFS
2
3
31.05.25
VIR
RFS
Grobina
6
0
15.04.25
VIR
Grobina
RFS
1
4
03.11.24
VIR
Grobina
RFS
0
2
11.08.24
VIR
RFS
Grobina
3
0
02.06.24
VIR
RFS
Grobina
5
0
23.04.24
VIR
Grobina
RFS
0
4
Recent Results
RFS
06.08.26
UECL
Jablonec
RFS
2
0
L
30.07.26
UECL
Vestri
RFS
1
1
D
27.07.26
VIR
Tukums 2000
RFS
0
1
W
23.07.26
UECL
RFS
Vestri
4
1
W
20.07.26
VIR
Jelgava
RFS
0
1
W
16.07.26
UECL
RFS
Glentoran
2
0
W
12.07.26
LC
RFS
Jelgava
2
0
W
09.07.26
UECL
Glentoran
RFS
1
2
W
04.07.26
VIR
RFS
Auda
1
1
D
30.06.26
VIR
RFS
BFC Daugavpils
3
1
W
Grobina
02.08.26
VIR
Riga FC
Grobina
4
0
L
27.07.26
VIR
Grobina
Ogre United
2
2
D
20.07.26
VIR
Super Nova
Grobina
2
0
L
12.07.26
LC
Marupe
Grobina
0
1
W
05.07.26
VIR
Grobina
Tukums 2000
3
1
W
29.06.26
VIR
Jelgava
Grobina
2
0
L
25.06.26
VIR
Grobina
Auda
0
0
D
20.06.26
VIR
BFC Daugavpils
Grobina
1
0
L
16.06.26
VIR
Grobina
FK Liepaja
1
0
W
13.06.26
VIR
Grobina
RFS
1
3
L
Venue Records
RFS at Home
23.07.26
UECL
RFS
Vestri
4
1
W
16.07.26
UECL
RFS
Glentoran
2
0
W
12.07.26
LC
RFS
Jelgava
2
0
W
04.07.26
VIR
RFS
Auda
1
1
D
30.06.26
VIR
RFS
BFC Daugavpils
3
1
W
22.06.26
VIR
RFS
Ogre United
6
0
W
25.05.26
VIR
RFS
Tukums 2000
3
1
W
21.05.26
VIR
RFS
Jelgava
4
0
W
08.05.26
VIR
RFS
FK Liepaja
5
0
W
28.04.26
VIR
RFS
Riga FC
3
3
D
Grobina Away
02.08.26
VIR
Riga FC
Grobina
4
0
L
20.07.26
VIR
Super Nova
Grobina
2
0
L
12.07.26
LC
Marupe
Grobina
0
1
W
29.06.26
VIR
Jelgava
Grobina
2
0
L
20.06.26
VIR
BFC Daugavpils
Grobina
1
0
L
29.05.26
VIR
Riga FC
Grobina
2
0
L
25.05.26
VIR
Ogre United
Grobina
1
1
D
07.05.26
VIR
Auda
Grobina
7
0
L
28.04.26
VIR
FK Liepaja
Grobina
1
1
D
13.04.26
VIR
Ogre United
Grobina
1
1
D
🎙 Expert Analysis

On Monday, 10th August 2026, RFS host Grobina at LNK Sporta Parks (Riga) in Latvia Virsliga. Our analysis points to over 2.5 goals as the standout bet.

RFS come into this in strong form, with 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 1.7 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game.

Grobina are struggling away from home — 3W 2D 5L in 10 games, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.5 per match.

Historically, RFS have won 11 of the last 11 meetings against Grobina, who have taken 0 victories, with 0 draws. Both teams scored in 36% of those games, averaging 4.1 goals.

With all factors considered, over 2.5 goals at 1.37 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


Everyone says do your research. Almost nobody does it properly. Proper research means setting aside what you already think you know about both teams, reading only the verified recent evidence, and then checking that evidence against the price on offer. Applied honestly, that process produced this Latvia Virsliga preview.

The hosts turn up on 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games. That run is plain for the market to see, which means it is largely priced in already. The more revealing question is what those recent home games actually tell us — whether the manager’s setup is genuinely clicking, whether the strongest eleven has been fit and available, and whether the results have reflected real quality or a bit of fortune in one direction or the other. Sustainable form holds across a handful of matches. Flukes fade. LNK Sporta Parks (Riga) tends to sort the two quickly.

The visitors arrive on 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We went straight to the recent road record, because that is where the current truth lives for a travelling team. Are they pressing early and taking their chances with confidence, or do they need the comfort of home to find their best? Recent away results answer that without much ambiguity.

With both teams read carefully, the position we trust is Over 2.5 at @1.37, which the numbers put at around 90%. The match begins at 5:30 pm.

There is a full slate of predictions on the site today, each given the same honest treatment — worth a proper look before you decide where your stake belongs. It is worth repeating: the side that looks the part on paper and the side that turns up on the day are not always the same team, and recent form is the surest bridge between the two.

❓ Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for RFS vs Grobina?
Our top pick is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals at around 1.37. Confidence: 72%.
What is RFS's recent form?
RFS have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 — very good form.
How has Grobina been performing?
Grobina: 3W 2D 5L from 10 games — inconsistent.
What is the H2H record?
RFS 11 wins vs Grobina's 0, with 0 draws in 11 meetings. Avg 4.1 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.4 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 36%.
18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.