Official Match Programme · SurePredictionToday
🏆 Indonesia President Cup 📅 Wednesday, 29th July 2026 ⏰ 1:30 pm 📍 Gelora Bung Tomo Stadium (Surabaya) ⏳ —
PER
Persebaya
W D W W D
VS
PSM
PSMS Medan
L D D W L
GATE: PREDICTION ZONE ADMIT: 1 BETTOR REF #004156
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Persebaya to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.22
~50% implied
Confidence
61%
Solid Pick
18+ · Gamble responsibly · Tips are not guarantees · GambleAware · GamCare
🎟 Today's Betslip SUPPORTING
★ Main 1 — Persebaya to win @1.22
Goals Over 1.5 80%
Persebaya Clean Sheet Home CS 70%
H2H Over 2.5 80%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

💸 Bettor Intelligence PRO
📊 Value Assessment
-32%
edge
No Value
Market implies 82% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -32% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
🔥 Form Streak Tracker
Persebaya
W D W W D W W W L L
〰 Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 60%
PSMS Medan
L D D W L D D L L W
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 20%
⚔ Head to Head
Persebaya4W
Draw0
PSMS Medan1W
Supports Tip Persebaya won 4 of the last 5 meetings (0 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Persebaya wins6/10
PSMS Medan wins2/10
Goals per game2.8
H2H avg goals3.4
Supports Tip Persebaya: 6W 2D 2L from 10 games.
6-2-2
Persebaya form
2-4-4
PSMS Medan form
40%
H2H BTTS rate
3.4
H2H avg goals
⭐ Team Form Ratings
Persebaya
Overall
6.6
Scoring
8.7
Defence
7.7
PSMS Medan
Overall
3.2
Scoring
3.3
Defence
5.7
📐 Key Analytics
Persebaya
2.6
Goals
scored/game
0.7
Goals
conceded/game
70%
Clean
sheets
PSMS Medan
1
Goals
scored/game
1.3
Goals
conceded/game
10%
Clean
sheets
🎯 Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 22%
Home Win & BTTS No 33%
Draw & BTTS Yes 11%
Draw & BTTS No 16%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 7%
Away Win & BTTS No 11%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 28%
Home Win & Under 2.5 28%
Draw & Over 2.5 14%
Draw & Under 2.5 14%
Away Win & Over 2.5 9%
Away Win & Under 2.5 9%
📋 Match History
Head to Head
01.12.18
SL
PSMS Medan
Persebaya
4
0
18.07.18
SL
Persebaya
PSMS Medan
2
0
28.11.17
CHA
PSMS Medan
Persebaya
2
3
11.07.12
PL
Persebaya
PSMS Medan
3
0
27.11.11
PL
PSMS Medan
Persebaya
1
2
Recent Results
Persebaya
26.07.26
PRE
Persebaya
Persija Jakarta
1
0
W
19.07.26
CF
Persebaya
PSIS Semarang
2
2
D
23.05.26
SL
Persebaya
Persik Kediri
5
0
W
15.05.26
SL
Semen Padang
Persebaya
0
7
W
09.05.26
SL
Persis Solo
Persebaya
0
0
D
02.05.26
SL
Persebaya
PSBS Biak Numfor
4
0
W
28.04.26
SL
Arema FC
Persebaya
0
4
W
23.04.26
SL
Malut United
Persebaya
0
2
W
17.04.26
SL
Persebaya
Madura United
1
2
L
11.04.26
SL
Persija Jakarta
Persebaya
3
0
L
PSMS Medan
26.07.26
PRE
PSMS Medan
Port MTI FC
0
2
L
02.05.26
CHA
Persiraja Aceh
PSMS Medan
1
1
D
25.04.26
CHA
PSMS Medan
Adhyaksa
1
1
D
19.04.26
CHA
PSMS Medan
Sriwijaya
1
0
W
11.04.26
CHA
Garudayaksa
PSMS Medan
1
0
L
05.04.26
CHA
Persikad Depok
PSMS Medan
2
2
D
28.03.26
CHA
PSMS Medan
PSPS Riau
1
1
D
28.02.26
CHA
Bekasi City
PSMS Medan
2
1
L
21.02.26
CHA
Persekat
PSMS Medan
2
0
L
14.02.26
CHA
PSMS Medan
Sumsel United
3
1
W
🎙 Expert Analysis

On Wednesday, 29th July 2026, Persebaya host PSMS Medan at Gelora Bung Tomo Stadium (Surabaya) in Indonesia President Cup. Our analysis points to Persebaya to win as the standout bet.

Persebaya come into this showing mixed form, with 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 2.6 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game.

PSMS Medan are struggling away from home — 2W 4D 4L in 10 games, scoring 1 and conceding 1.3 per match.

Historically, Persebaya have won 4 of the last 5 meetings against PSMS Medan, who have taken 1 victories, with 0 draws. Both teams scored in 40% of those games, averaging 3.4 goals.

With all factors considered, persebaya to win at 1.22 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


Everyone says do your research. Almost nobody does it properly. Proper research means setting aside what you already think you know about both teams, reading only the verified recent evidence, and then checking that evidence against the price on offer. Applied honestly, that process produced this Indonesia President Cup preview.

The hosts turn up on 3 wins, 2 draws from their last 5 games. That run is plain for the market to see, which means it is largely priced in already. The more revealing question is what those recent home games actually tell us — whether the manager’s setup is genuinely clicking, whether the strongest eleven has been fit and available, and whether the results have reflected real quality or a bit of fortune in one direction or the other. Sustainable form holds across a handful of matches. Flukes fade. Gelora Bung Tomo Stadium (Surabaya) tends to sort the two quickly.

The visitors arrive on 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We went straight to the recent road record, because that is where the current truth lives for a travelling team. Are they pressing early and taking their chances with confidence, or do they need the comfort of home to find their best? Recent away results answer that without much ambiguity.

With both teams read carefully, the position we trust is 1 at @1.22, which the numbers put at around 50,30,20%. The match begins at 1:30 pm.

There is a full slate of predictions on the site today, each given the same honest treatment — worth a proper look before you decide where your stake belongs. It is worth repeating: the side that looks the part on paper and the side that turns up on the day are not always the same team, and recent form is the surest bridge between the two.

❓ Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Persebaya vs PSMS Medan?
Our top pick is 1 — Persebaya to win at around 1.22. Confidence: 61%.
What is Persebaya's recent form?
Persebaya have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 — decent form.
How has PSMS Medan been performing?
PSMS Medan: 2W 4D 4L from 10 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record?
Persebaya 4 wins vs PSMS Medan's 1, with 0 draws in 5 meetings. Avg 3.4 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.8 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 40%.
18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.