Official Match Programme · SurePredictionToday
🏆 Uzbekistan Super League 📅 Tuesday, 21st July 2026 ⏰ 4:00 pm 📍 Pakhtakor Central Stadium (Tashkent) ⏳ —
PAK
Pakhtakor
D D D W W
VS
XOR
Xorazm Urganch
L L D L W
GATE: PREDICTION ZONE ADMIT: 1 BETTOR REF #004066
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Pakhtakor to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.37
~50% implied
Confidence
63%
Solid Pick
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💸 Bettor Intelligence PRO
📊 Value Assessment
-23%
edge
No Value
Market implies 73% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -23% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
🔥 Form Streak Tracker
Pakhtakor
D D D W W W W W W L
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 80%
Xorazm Urganch
L L D L W D D W L D
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 20%
⚔ Head to Head
Pakhtakor8W
Draw1
Xorazm Urganch0W
Supports Tip Pakhtakor won 8 of the last 9 meetings (1 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Pakhtakor wins6/10
Xorazm Urganch wins2/10
Goals per game2.6
H2H avg goals3
Supports Tip Pakhtakor: 6W 3D 1L from 10 games.
6-3-1
Pakhtakor form
2-4-4
Xorazm Urganch form
33%
H2H BTTS rate
3
H2H avg goals
⭐ Team Form Ratings
Pakhtakor
Overall
6.9
Scoring
6.3
Defence
6.3
Xorazm Urganch
Overall
3.2
Scoring
2.7
Defence
5.3
📐 Key Analytics
Pakhtakor
1.9
Goals
scored/game
1.1
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
Xorazm Urganch
0.8
Goals
scored/game
1.4
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
🎯 Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 31%
Home Win & BTTS No 21%
Draw & BTTS Yes 18%
Draw & BTTS No 12%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 11%
Away Win & BTTS No 7%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 23%
Home Win & Under 2.5 29%
Draw & Over 2.5 14%
Draw & Under 2.5 17%
Away Win & Over 2.5 8%
Away Win & Under 2.5 10%
📋 Match History
Head to Head
23.10.25
SL
Xorazm Urganch
Pakhtakor
0
1
25.05.25
SL
Pakhtakor
Xorazm Urganch
2
1
18.04.14
CUP
Xorazm Urganch
Pakhtakor
0
4
18.09.10
SL
Pakhtakor
Xorazm Urganch
3
0
02.05.10
SL
Xorazm Urganch
Pakhtakor
0
1
19.08.09
SL
Pakhtakor
Xorazm Urganch
2
0
21.06.09
SL
Xorazm Urganch
Pakhtakor
1
1
10.08.06
SL
Xorazm Urganch
Pakhtakor
1
9
03.06.06
SL
Pakhtakor
Xorazm Urganch
1
0
Recent Results
Pakhtakor
17.07.26
SL
Pakhtakor
Lok. Tashkent
1
1
D
03.05.26
SL
Termez Surkhon
Pakhtakor
1
1
D
28.04.26
SL
Pakhtakor
Nasaf Qarshi
2
2
D
22.04.26
SL
Buxoro
Pakhtakor
0
1
W
18.04.26
SL
Pakhtakor
Din. Samarkand
4
2
W
13.04.26
SL
Pakhtakor
Mashal Muborak
2
1
W
09.04.26
SL
Neftchi Fargona
Pakhtakor
0
1
W
04.04.26
SL
Pakhtakor
OKMK
3
1
W
20.03.26
SL
Sogdiana
Pakhtakor
2
4
W
15.03.26
SUC
Neftchi Fargona
Pakhtakor
1
0
L
Xorazm Urganch
16.07.26
SL
Sogdiana
Xorazm Urganch
2
0
L
04.05.26
SL
Xorazm Urganch
Andijan
0
3
L
29.04.26
SL
Qizilqum
Xorazm Urganch
0
0
D
24.04.26
SL
Xorazm Urganch
Neftchi Fargona
0
2
L
18.04.26
SL
Mashal Muborak
Xorazm Urganch
0
1
W
14.04.26
SL
Xorazm Urganch
Kokand 1912
2
2
D
07.04.26
SL
Lok. Tashkent
Xorazm Urganch
1
1
D
03.04.26
SL
Xorazm Urganch
Din. Samarkand
2
1
W
18.03.26
SL
Xorazm Urganch
Bunyodkor
1
2
L
11.03.26
SL
Buxoro
Xorazm Urganch
1
1
D
Venue Records
Pakhtakor at Home
17.07.26
SL
Pakhtakor
Lok. Tashkent
1
1
D
28.04.26
SL
Pakhtakor
Nasaf Qarshi
2
2
D
18.04.26
SL
Pakhtakor
Din. Samarkand
4
2
W
13.04.26
SL
Pakhtakor
Mashal Muborak
2
1
W
04.04.26
SL
Pakhtakor
OKMK
3
1
W
10.03.26
SL
Pakhtakor
Navbahor Namangan
0
2
L
27.02.26
SL
Pakhtakor
Qizilqum
2
0
W
17.02.26
CF
Pakhtakor
Spaeri
3
4
L
22.01.26
CF
Pakhtakor
Struga
1
1
D
20.11.25
SL
Pakhtakor
Nasaf Qarshi
1
0
W
Xorazm Urganch Away
16.07.26
SL
Sogdiana
Xorazm Urganch
2
0
L
29.04.26
SL
Qizilqum
Xorazm Urganch
0
0
D
18.04.26
SL
Mashal Muborak
Xorazm Urganch
0
1
W
07.04.26
SL
Lok. Tashkent
Xorazm Urganch
1
1
D
11.03.26
SL
Buxoro
Xorazm Urganch
1
1
D
01.03.26
SL
Nasaf Qarshi
Xorazm Urganch
1
0
L
14.02.26
CF
Pribram
Xorazm Urganch
1
1
D
10.12.25
SL
Buxoro
Xorazm Urganch
1
2
W
21.11.25
SL
Andijan
Xorazm Urganch
3
2
L
🎙 Expert Analysis

On Tuesday, 21st July 2026, Pakhtakor host Xorazm Urganch at Pakhtakor Central Stadium (Tashkent) in Uzbekistan Super League. Our analysis points to Pakhtakor to win as the standout bet.

Pakhtakor come into this showing mixed form, with 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 1.9 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game.

Xorazm Urganch are struggling away from home — 2W 4D 4L in 10 games, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.4 per match.

Historically, Pakhtakor have won 8 of the last 9 meetings against Xorazm Urganch, who have taken 0 victories, with 1 draws. Both teams scored in 33% of those games, averaging 3 goals.

With all factors considered, pakhtakor to win at 1.37 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


Everyone says do your research. Almost nobody does it properly. Proper research means setting aside what you already think you know about both teams, reading only the verified recent evidence, and then checking that evidence against the price on offer. Applied honestly, that process produced this Uzbekistan Super League preview.

The hosts turn up on 2 wins, 3 draws from their last 5 games. That run is plain for the market to see, which means it is largely priced in already. The more revealing question is what those recent home games actually tell us — whether the manager’s setup is genuinely clicking, whether the strongest eleven has been fit and available, and whether the results have reflected real quality or a bit of fortune in one direction or the other. Sustainable form holds across a handful of matches. Flukes fade. Pakhtakor Central Stadium (Tashkent) tends to sort the two quickly.

The visitors arrive on 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses from their last 5 games. We went straight to the recent road record, because that is where the current truth lives for a travelling team. Are they pressing early and taking their chances with confidence, or do they need the comfort of home to find their best? Recent away results answer that without much ambiguity.

With both teams read carefully, the position we trust is 1 at @1.37, which the numbers put at around 50,30,20%. The match begins at 4:00 pm.

There is a full slate of predictions on the site today, each given the same honest treatment — worth a proper look before you decide where your stake belongs. It is worth repeating: the side that looks the part on paper and the side that turns up on the day are not always the same team, and recent form is the surest bridge between the two.

❓ Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Pakhtakor vs Xorazm Urganch?
Our top pick is 1 — Pakhtakor to win at around 1.37. Confidence: 63%.
What is Pakhtakor's recent form?
Pakhtakor have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 — decent form.
How has Xorazm Urganch been performing?
Xorazm Urganch: 2W 4D 4L from 10 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record?
Pakhtakor 8 wins vs Xorazm Urganch's 0, with 1 draws in 9 meetings. Avg 3 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.6 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 33%.
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