Official Match Programme · SurePredictionToday
🏆 China Super League 📅 Friday, 17th July 2026 ⏰ 1:00 pm 📍 Yuxi Plateau Sports Center Stadium (Yuxi) ⏳ —
YUN
Yunnan Yukun
L W L W D
VS
SHA
Shanghai Port
L W W L D
GATE: PREDICTION ZONE ADMIT: 1 BETTOR REF #004038
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
Over 2.5
We're backing over 2.5 goals in this fixture.
Odds
1.36
~80% implied
Confidence
81%
Strong Pick
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🎟 Today's Betslip SUPPORTING
★ Main Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals @1.36
Goals Over 2.5 70%
Goals Over 1.5 85%
Both Teams To Score BTTS — Yes 85%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

💸 Bettor Intelligence PRO
📊 Value Assessment
+6.5%
edge
Value Bet
The market prices this at 73.5% but our model gives it 80%. That's a +6.5% edge — statistically meaningful.
💰 Kelly Criterion
Strategy% of bankrolle.g. $1,000
Full Kelly 24.4% $244.00
Half Kelly 12.2% $122.00
Quarter Kelly 6.1% $61.00
Most professionals use Half or Quarter Kelly to manage variance. Full Kelly maximises expected growth but carries higher drawdown risk.
🔥 Form Streak Tracker
Yunnan Yukun
L W L W D L D W W L
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 40%
Shanghai Port
L W W L D W D D D L
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 20%
⚔ Head to Head
Yunnan Yukun0W
Draw0
Shanghai Port3W
Supports Tip Over 2.5 goals in 100% of H2H meetings (avg 4.7).
📈 Recent Form
Yunnan Yukun wins4/10
Shanghai Port wins3/10
Goals per game3.4
H2H avg goals4.7
Supports Tip Over 2.5 goals in 70% of recent games.
4-2-4
Yunnan Yukun form
3-4-3
Shanghai Port form
100%
H2H BTTS rate
4.7
H2H avg goals
⭐ Team Form Ratings
Yunnan Yukun
Overall
4.6
Scoring
6.0
Defence
4.0
Shanghai Port
Overall
4.2
Scoring
5.0
Defence
4.7
📐 Key Analytics
Yunnan Yukun
1.8
Goals
scored/game
1.8
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
Shanghai Port
1.5
Goals
scored/game
1.6
Goals
conceded/game
10%
Clean
sheets
🎯 Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 34%
Home Win & BTTS No 6%
Draw & BTTS Yes 26%
Draw & BTTS No 5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 26%
Away Win & BTTS No 5%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 28%
Home Win & Under 2.5 12%
Draw & Over 2.5 21%
Draw & Under 2.5 9%
Away Win & Over 2.5 21%
Away Win & Under 2.5 9%
📋 Match History
Head to Head
04.04.26
SL
Shanghai Port
Yunnan Yukun
2
1
12.09.25
SL
Shanghai Port
Yunnan Yukun
4
2
25.04.25
SL
Yunnan Yukun
Shanghai Port
2
3
Recent Results
Yunnan Yukun
10.07.26
SL
Shandong Taishan
Yunnan Yukun
4
3
L
03.07.26
SL
Yunnan Yukun
Henan Songshan Longmen
2
1
W
26.06.26
SL
Qingdao Hainiu
Yunnan Yukun
4
2
L
21.06.26
FAC
Suzhou Dongwu
Yunnan Yukun
2
4
W
31.05.26
SL
Wuhan Three Towns
Yunnan Yukun
1
1
D
24.05.26
SL
Yunnan Yukun
Qingdao West Coast
2
3
L
20.05.26
SL
Chongqing Tonglianglong
Yunnan Yukun
0
0
D
16.05.26
SL
Yunnan Yukun
Shanghai Shenhua
1
0
W
10.05.26
SL
Liaoning Tieren
Yunnan Yukun
1
2
W
06.05.26
SL
Yunnan Yukun
Zhejiang Professional
1
2
L
Shanghai Port
04.07.26
SL
Qingdao West Coast
Shanghai Port
2
1
L
27.06.26
SL
Henan Songshan Longmen
Shanghai Port
1
2
W
19.06.26
FAC
Shanghai Second
Shanghai Port
1
2
W
29.05.26
SL
Liaoning Tieren
Shanghai Port
3
2
L
23.05.26
SL
Shanghai Port
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1
1
D
19.05.26
SL
Chengdu Rongcheng
Shanghai Port
0
1
W
15.05.26
SL
Shanghai Port
Zhejiang Professional
2
2
D
10.05.26
SL
Beijing Guoan
Shanghai Port
2
2
D
06.05.26
SL
Shanghai Port
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
1
1
D
02.05.26
SL
Qingdao Hainiu
Shanghai Port
3
1
L
Venue Records
Yunnan Yukun at Home
03.07.26
SL
Yunnan Yukun
Henan Songshan Longmen
2
1
W
24.05.26
SL
Yunnan Yukun
Qingdao West Coast
2
3
L
16.05.26
SL
Yunnan Yukun
Shanghai Shenhua
1
0
W
06.05.26
SL
Yunnan Yukun
Zhejiang Professional
1
2
L
02.05.26
SL
Yunnan Yukun
Beijing Guoan
3
3
D
17.04.26
SL
Yunnan Yukun
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
0
3
L
21.03.26
SL
Yunnan Yukun
Shandong Taishan
4
0
W
07.03.26
SL
Yunnan Yukun
Qingdao Hainiu
3
1
W
02.11.25
SL
Yunnan Yukun
Qingdao West Coast
1
0
W
18.10.25
SL
Yunnan Yukun
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
2
0
W
Shanghai Port Away
04.07.26
SL
Qingdao West Coast
Shanghai Port
2
1
L
27.06.26
SL
Henan Songshan Longmen
Shanghai Port
1
2
W
19.06.26
FAC
Shanghai Second
Shanghai Port
1
2
W
29.05.26
SL
Liaoning Tieren
Shanghai Port
3
2
L
19.05.26
SL
Chengdu Rongcheng
Shanghai Port
0
1
W
10.05.26
SL
Beijing Guoan
Shanghai Port
2
2
D
02.05.26
SL
Qingdao Hainiu
Shanghai Port
3
1
L
17.04.26
SL
Shandong Taishan
Shanghai Port
1
1
D
11.04.26
SL
Shanghai Shenhua
Shanghai Port
1
0
L
20.03.26
SL
Dalian Yingbo
Shanghai Port
1
0
L
🎙 Expert Analysis

On Friday, 17th July 2026, Yunnan Yukun host Shanghai Port at Yuxi Plateau Sports Center Stadium (Yuxi) in China Super League. Our analysis points to over 2.5 goals as the standout bet.

Yunnan Yukun come into this showing mixed form, with 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 1.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game.

Shanghai Port are struggling away from home — 3W 4D 3L in 10 games, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.6 per match.

Historically, Yunnan Yukun have won 0 of the last 3 meetings against Shanghai Port, who have taken 3 victories, with 0 draws. Both teams scored in 100% of those games, averaging 4.7 goals.

With all factors considered, over 2.5 goals at 1.36 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


Everyone says do your research. Almost nobody does it properly. Proper research means setting aside what you already think you know about both teams, reading only the verified recent evidence, and then checking that evidence against the price on offer. Applied honestly, that process produced this China Super League preview.

The hosts turn up on 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. That run is plain for the market to see, which means it is largely priced in already. The more revealing question is what those recent home games actually tell us — whether the manager’s setup is genuinely clicking, whether the strongest eleven has been fit and available, and whether the results have reflected real quality or a bit of fortune in one direction or the other. Sustainable form holds across a handful of matches. Flukes fade. Yuxi Plateau Sports Center Stadium (Yuxi) tends to sort the two quickly.

The visitors arrive on 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We went straight to the recent road record, because that is where the current truth lives for a travelling team. Are they pressing early and taking their chances with confidence, or do they need the comfort of home to find their best? Recent away results answer that without much ambiguity.

With both teams read carefully, the position we trust is Over 2.5 at @1.36, which the numbers put at around 80%. The match begins at 1:00 pm.

There is a full slate of predictions on the site today, each given the same honest treatment — worth a proper look before you decide where your stake belongs. It is worth repeating: the side that looks the part on paper and the side that turns up on the day are not always the same team, and recent form is the surest bridge between the two.

❓ Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Yunnan Yukun vs Shanghai Port?
Our top pick is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals at around 1.36. Confidence: 81%.
What is Yunnan Yukun's recent form?
Yunnan Yukun have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 — inconsistent.
How has Shanghai Port been performing?
Shanghai Port: 3W 4D 3L from 10 games — inconsistent.
What is the H2H record?
Yunnan Yukun 0 wins vs Shanghai Port's 3, with 0 draws in 3 meetings. Avg 4.7 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3.4 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 100%.
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