Official Match Programme · SurePredictionToday
🏆 Iceland Besta deild karla 📅 Monday, 6th July 2026 ⏰ 8:15 am 📍 Keflavíkurvöllur (Keflavík) ⏳ —
KEF
Keflavik
W D L L W
VS
FRA
Fram
W L W W W
GATE: PREDICTION ZONE ADMIT: 1 BETTOR REF #003920
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
Over 2.5
We're backing over 2.5 goals in this fixture.
Odds
1.41
~90% implied
Confidence
80%
Strong Pick
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🎟 Today's Betslip SUPPORTING
★ Main Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals @1.41
Goals Over 2.5 65%
Goals Over 1.5 80%
Both Teams To Score BTTS — Yes 70%
H2H Over 2.5 80%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

💸 Bettor Intelligence PRO
📊 Value Assessment
+19.1%
edge
Value Bet
The market prices this at 70.9% but our model gives it 90%. That's a +19.1% edge — statistically meaningful.
💰 Kelly Criterion
Strategy% of bankrolle.g. $1,000
Full Kelly 65.6% $656.00
Half Kelly 32.8% $328.00
Quarter Kelly 16.4% $164.00
Most professionals use Half or Quarter Kelly to manage variance. Full Kelly maximises expected growth but carries higher drawdown risk.
🔥 Form Streak Tracker
Keflavik
W D L L W D W L W D
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 40%
Fram
W L W W W D W W W L
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 60%
⚔ Head to Head
Keflavik5W
Draw2
Fram3W
Supports Tip Over 2.5 goals in 80% of H2H meetings (avg 4.5).
📈 Recent Form
Keflavik wins4/10
Fram wins7/10
Goals per game3.8
H2H avg goals4.5
Supports Tip Over 2.5 goals in 65% of recent games.
4-3-3
Keflavik form
7-1-2
Fram form
80%
H2H BTTS rate
4.5
H2H avg goals
⭐ Team Form Ratings
Keflavik
Overall
4.9
Scoring
4.7
Defence
4.3
Fram
Overall
7.3
Scoring
8.3
Defence
3.3
📐 Key Analytics
Keflavik
1.4
Goals
scored/game
1.7
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
Fram
2.5
Goals
scored/game
2
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
🎯 Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 22%
Home Win & BTTS No 9%
Draw & BTTS Yes 11%
Draw & BTTS No 5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 38%
Away Win & BTTS No 16%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 20%
Home Win & Under 2.5 11%
Draw & Over 2.5 10%
Draw & Under 2.5 5%
Away Win & Over 2.5 35%
Away Win & Under 2.5 19%
📋 Match History
Head to Head
17.04.26
BK
Fram
Keflavik
3
1
06.03.26
CUP
Keflavik
Fram
4
3
28.09.23
BK
Fram
Keflavik
3
1
27.08.23
BK
Keflavik
Fram
0
0
02.06.23
BK
Fram
Keflavik
4
1
29.10.22
BK
Keflavik
Fram
4
0
17.09.22
BK
Fram
Keflavik
4
8
03.07.22
BK
Keflavik
Fram
3
1
17.09.20
D1
Keflavik
Fram
1
1
15.02.20
CUP
Fram
Keflavik
1
2
Recent Results
Keflavik
28.06.26
BK
Keflavik
KR Reykjavik
3
2
W
21.06.26
BK
Valur
Keflavik
1
1
D
14.06.26
BK
Keflavik
Hafnarfjordur
1
2
L
31.05.26
BK
Vestmannaeyjar
Keflavik
6
1
L
22.05.26
BK
Keflavik
Thor Akureyri
1
0
W
17.05.26
BK
Keflavik
Stjarnan
1
1
D
08.05.26
BK
Akranes
Keflavik
1
3
W
03.05.26
BK
Keflavik
Vikingur Reykjavik
1
3
L
26.04.26
BK
KA Akureyri
Keflavik
1
2
W
22.04.26
BK
Keflavik
Breidablik
0
0
D
Fram
29.06.26
BK
Akranes
Fram
0
2
W
21.06.26
BK
Fram
Vikingur Reykjavik
0
5
L
15.06.26
BK
KA Akureyri
Fram
3
4
W
29.05.26
BK
Fram
Breidablik
4
3
W
22.05.26
BK
Stjarnan
Fram
0
1
W
17.05.26
BK
KR Reykjavik
Fram
2
2
D
08.05.26
BK
Fram
Valur
3
2
W
03.05.26
BK
Hafnarfjordur
Fram
3
4
W
27.04.26
BK
Fram
Vestmannaeyjar
5
1
W
23.04.26
BK
Thor Akureyri
Fram
1
0
L
Venue Records
Keflavik at Home
28.06.26
BK
Keflavik
KR Reykjavik
3
2
W
14.06.26
BK
Keflavik
Hafnarfjordur
1
2
L
22.05.26
BK
Keflavik
Thor Akureyri
1
0
W
17.05.26
BK
Keflavik
Stjarnan
1
1
D
03.05.26
BK
Keflavik
Vikingur Reykjavik
1
3
L
22.04.26
BK
Keflavik
Breidablik
0
0
D
06.03.26
CUP
Keflavik
Fram
4
3
W
27.02.26
CUP
Keflavik
Aegir
3
1
W
06.02.26
CUP
Keflavik
Kopavogur
2
2
D
27.09.25
D1
Keflavik
Kopavogur
4
0
W
Fram Away
29.06.26
BK
Akranes
Fram
0
2
W
15.06.26
BK
KA Akureyri
Fram
3
4
W
22.05.26
BK
Stjarnan
Fram
0
1
W
17.05.26
BK
KR Reykjavik
Fram
2
2
D
03.05.26
BK
Hafnarfjordur
Fram
3
4
W
23.04.26
BK
Thor Akureyri
Fram
1
0
L
06.03.26
CUP
Keflavik
Fram
4
3
L
14.02.26
CUP
Kopavogur
Fram
2
1
L
24.01.26
CUP
Vikingur Reykjavik
Fram
1
1
D
15.12.25
CUP
Fjolnir
Fram
1
1
D
🎙 Expert Analysis

On Monday, 6th July 2026, Keflavik host Fram at Keflavíkurvöllur (Keflavík) in Iceland Besta deild karla. Our analysis points to over 2.5 goals as the standout bet.

Keflavik come into this showing mixed form, with 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 1.4 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game.

Fram are travelling well — 7W 1D 2L in 10 games, scoring 2.5 and conceding 2 per match.

Historically, Keflavik have won 5 of the last 10 meetings against Fram, who have taken 3 victories, with 2 draws. Both teams scored in 80% of those games, averaging 4.5 goals.

With all factors considered, over 2.5 goals at 1.41 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


Everyone says do your research. Almost nobody does it properly. Proper research means setting aside what you already think you know about both teams, reading only the verified recent evidence, and then checking that evidence against the price on offer. Applied honestly, that process produced this Iceland Besta deild karla preview.

The hosts turn up on 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. That run is plain for the market to see, which means it is largely priced in already. The more revealing question is what those recent home games actually tell us — whether the manager’s setup is genuinely clicking, whether the strongest eleven has been fit and available, and whether the results have reflected real quality or a bit of fortune in one direction or the other. Sustainable form holds across a handful of matches. Flukes fade. Keflavíkurvöllur (Keflavík) tends to sort the two quickly.

The visitors arrive on 4 wins, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We went straight to the recent road record, because that is where the current truth lives for a travelling team. Are they pressing early and taking their chances with confidence, or do they need the comfort of home to find their best? Recent away results answer that without much ambiguity.

With both teams read carefully, the position we trust is Over 2.5 at @1.41, which the numbers put at around 90%. The match begins at 8:15 am.

There is a full slate of predictions on the site today, each given the same honest treatment — worth a proper look before you decide where your stake belongs. It is worth repeating: the side that looks the part on paper and the side that turns up on the day are not always the same team, and recent form is the surest bridge between the two.

❓ Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Keflavik vs Fram?
Our top pick is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals at around 1.41. Confidence: 80%.
What is Keflavik's recent form?
Keflavik have won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 — inconsistent.
How has Fram been performing?
Fram: 7W 1D 2L from 10 games — very good form.
What is the H2H record?
Keflavik 5 wins vs Fram's 3, with 2 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 4.5 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3.8 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 80%.
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