Tip WON  ·  Celtic 3-1 Dunfermline
Official Match Programme · SurePredictionToday
🏆 Scottish Cup 📅 Saturday, 23rd May 2026
CEL
Celtic
W W W W W
3-1
VS
DUN
Dunfermline
L D D W D
GATE: PREDICTION ZONE ADMIT: 1 BETTOR REF #003430
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
Over 2.5
We're backing over 2.5 goals in this fixture.
Odds
1.46
~90% implied
Confidence
73%
Strong Pick
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🎟 Today's Betslip SUPPORTING
★ Main Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals @1.46
H2H Over 2.5 70%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

💸 Bettor Intelligence PRO
📊 Value Assessment
+21.5%
edge
Value Bet
The market prices this at 68.5% but our model gives it 90%. That's a +21.5% edge — statistically meaningful.
💰 Kelly Criterion
Strategy% of bankrolle.g. $1,000
Full Kelly 68.3% $683.00
Half Kelly 34.2% $342.00
Quarter Kelly 17.1% $171.00
Most professionals use Half or Quarter Kelly to manage variance. Full Kelly maximises expected growth but carries higher drawdown risk.
🔥 Form Streak Tracker
Celtic
W W W W W W W W L W
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 80%
Dunfermline
L D D W D W L W D L
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 40%
⚔ Head to Head
Celtic10W
Draw0
Dunfermline0W
Supports Tip Over 2.5 goals in 70% of H2H meetings (avg 2.8).
📈 Recent Form
Celtic wins9/10
Dunfermline wins3/10
Goals per game2.8
H2H avg goals2.8
Mixed Over 2.5 goals in 50% of recent games.
9-0-1
Celtic form
3-4-3
Dunfermline form
50%
H2H BTTS rate
2.8
H2H avg goals
⭐ Team Form Ratings
Celtic
Overall
9.0
Scoring
8.7
Defence
6.0
Dunfermline
Overall
4.2
Scoring
2.7
Defence
7.0
📐 Key Analytics
Celtic
2.6
Goals
scored/game
1.2
Goals
conceded/game
10%
Clean
sheets
Dunfermline
0.8
Goals
scored/game
0.9
Goals
conceded/game
50%
Clean
sheets
🎯 Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 35%
Home Win & BTTS No 29%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 12%
Away Win & BTTS No 10%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 32%
Home Win & Under 2.5 32%
Draw & Over 2.5 7%
Draw & Under 2.5 7%
Away Win & Over 2.5 11%
Away Win & Under 2.5 11%
📋 Match History
Head to Head
17.08.19
LC
Celtic
(a.e.t. 1-1) Dunfermline
2
1
22.02.12
PRE
Celtic
Dunfermline
2
0
02.01.12
PRE
Dunfermline
Celtic
0
3
23.11.11
PRE
Celtic
Dunfermline
2
1
07.02.10
SC
Dunfermline
Celtic
2
4
26.05.07
SC
Celtic
Dunfermline
1
0
03.03.07
PRE
Celtic
Dunfermline
2
1
10.12.06
PRE
Dunfermline
Celtic
1
2
16.09.06
PRE
Celtic
Dunfermline
1
0
19.03.06
LC
Dunfermline
Celtic
0
3
Recent Results
Celtic
16.05.26
PRE
Celtic
Hearts
3
1
W
13.05.26
PRE
Motherwell
Celtic
2
3
W
10.05.26
PRE
Celtic
Rangers
3
1
W
03.05.26
PRE
Hibernian
Celtic
1
2
W
25.04.26
PRE
Celtic
Falkirk
3
1
W
19.04.26
SC
Celtic
St. Mirren
6
2
W
11.04.26
PRE
Celtic
St. Mirren
1
0
W
05.04.26
PRE
Dundee FC
Celtic
1
2
W
22.03.26
PRE
Dundee Utd
Celtic
2
0
L
14.03.26
PRE
Celtic
Motherwell
3
1
W
Dunfermline
15.05.26
PRE
Partick Thistle
Dunfermline
2
1
L
12.05.26
PRE
Dunfermline
Partick Thistle
1
1
D
08.05.26
PRE
Arbroath
Dunfermline
0
0
D
05.05.26
PRE
Dunfermline
Arbroath
1
0
W
01.05.26
CHA
Dunfermline
Arbroath
0
0
D
25.04.26
CHA
Queen’s Park
Dunfermline
0
2
W
21.04.26
CHA
Dunfermline
St Johnstone
0
2
L
18.04.26
SC
Dunfermline
(a.e.t. 0-0) Falkirk
1
0
W
14.04.26
CHA
Airdrieonians
Dunfermline
2
2
D
11.04.26
CHA
Partick Thistle
Dunfermline
2
0
L
🎙 Expert Analysis

On Saturday, 23rd May 2026, Celtic host Dunfermline in Scottish Cup. Our analysis points to over 2.5 goals as the standout bet.

Celtic come into this in strong form, with 9 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 2.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game.

Dunfermline are struggling away from home — 3W 4D 3L in 10 games, scoring 0.8 and conceding 0.9 per match.

Historically, Celtic have won 10 of the last 10 meetings against Dunfermline, who have taken 0 victories, with 0 draws. Both teams scored in 50% of those games, averaging 2.8 goals.

With all factors considered, over 2.5 goals at 1.46 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


To really find an advantage in sports betting, checking the daily data is an absolute must. This pending Scottish Cup fixture is a dream for anyone who loves digging into stats. Taking your personal bias out of the equation is the golden rule for making money.

We start by grading the home team. Their broad season record sets the starting odds, but the real clues are always hidden in the short term. Reviewing their latest games gives us a clear look at their current offensive output and their true defensive grit.

The visiting side brings a completely different profile that needs to be decoded. It is incredibly important to weigh their long-term form against the momentum of their most recent games to uncover any oddsmaker mistakes. Past encounters also cast a huge shadow over today’s lines.

Head-to-head history regularly uncovers mental hurdles and tactical edges that automated models just miss completely. Putting these historical truths together with current momentum points us straight to the likely winner. The smart money is backing Over 2.5, especially when you factor in the current odds of @1.46.

As the referee signals the start of the match, our analysis is officially wrapped up. The final score will prove if the numbers pointed the right way. Check out our other tips today to build a solid slip.

❓ Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Celtic vs Dunfermline?
Our top pick is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals at around 1.46. Confidence: 73%.
What is Celtic's recent form?
Celtic have won 9, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 10 — very good form.
How has Dunfermline been performing?
Dunfermline: 3W 4D 3L from 10 games — inconsistent.
What is the H2H record?
Celtic 10 wins vs Dunfermline's 0, with 0 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 2.8 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.8 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 50%.
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