Tip LOST  ·  Sabah Baku 0-1 Kapaz
Official Match Programme · SurePredictionToday
🏆 Azerbaijan Premier League 📅 Friday, 8th May 2026
SAB
Sabah Baku
W W W W D
0-1
VS
KAP
Kapaz
W L L L L
GATE: PREDICTION ZONE ADMIT: 1 BETTOR REF #003293
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Sabah Baku to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.29
~60% implied
Confidence
69%
Strong Pick
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🎟 Today's Betslip SUPPORTING
★ Main 1 — Sabah Baku to win @1.29
Goals Over 1.5 85%
H2H Over 2.5 70%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

💸 Bettor Intelligence PRO
📊 Value Assessment
-17.5%
edge
No Value
Market implies 77.5% probability. Our estimate is 60%, a -17.5% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
🔥 Form Streak Tracker
Sabah Baku
W W W W D W D W W W
🔥 Hot 3 in a row
Momentum 80%
Kapaz
W L L L L W D D L W
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 40%
⚔ Head to Head
Sabah Baku7W
Draw1
Kapaz2W
Supports Tip Sabah Baku won 7 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Sabah Baku wins8/10
Kapaz wins3/10
Goals per game3.3
H2H avg goals3.7
Supports Tip Sabah Baku: 8W 2D 0L from 10 games.
8-2-0
Sabah Baku form
3-2-5
Kapaz form
70%
H2H BTTS rate
3.7
H2H avg goals
⭐ Team Form Ratings
Sabah Baku
Overall
8.6
Scoring
10.0
Defence
7.0
Kapaz
Overall
3.6
Scoring
3.3
Defence
5.0
📐 Key Analytics
Sabah Baku
3.1
Goals
scored/game
0.9
Goals
conceded/game
40%
Clean
sheets
Kapaz
1
Goals
scored/game
1.5
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
🎯 Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 31%
Home Win & BTTS No 31%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 12%
Away Win & BTTS No 12%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 37%
Home Win & Under 2.5 25%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 14%
Away Win & Under 2.5 9%
📋 Match History
Head to Head
22.02.26
PL
Sabah Baku
Kapaz
1
0
09.11.25
PL
Kapaz
Sabah Baku
1
3
06.04.25
PL
Sabah Baku
Kapaz
0
1
31.01.25
PL
Kapaz
Sabah Baku
3
2
09.11.24
PL
Sabah Baku
Kapaz
2
2
31.08.24
PL
Kapaz
Sabah Baku
2
3
21.04.24
PL
Kapaz
Sabah Baku
1
2
17.02.24
PL
Sabah Baku
Kapaz
3
2
18.12.23
CUP
Kapaz
Sabah Baku
3
4
03.12.23
PL
Kapaz
Sabah Baku
0
2
Recent Results
Sabah Baku
03.05.26
PL
Shamakhi
Sabah Baku
0
3
W
27.04.26
PL
Sabah Baku
Karvan
2
0
W
22.04.26
CUP
Sabah Baku
Qarabag
2
1
W
18.04.26
PL
Qarabag
Sabah Baku
0
1
W
11.04.26
PL
Sabah Baku
Zira
2
2
D
07.04.26
PL
Araz
Sabah Baku
2
4
W
03.04.26
CUP
Qarabag
Sabah Baku
2
2
D
19.03.26
PL
Sabah Baku
Sumqayit
3
1
W
14.03.26
PL
Imisli FK
Sabah Baku
0
5
W
10.03.26
PL
Sabah Baku
Gabala
7
1
W
Kapaz
02.05.26
PL
Kapaz
Sumqayit
2
1
W
26.04.26
PL
Shamakhi
Kapaz
2
0
L
19.04.26
PL
Kapaz
Imisli FK
0
1
L
10.04.26
PL
Karvan
Kapaz
4
1
L
05.04.26
PL
Kapaz
Gabala
0
2
L
20.03.26
PL
Kapaz
Qarabag
1
0
W
15.03.26
PL
Kapaz
Turan Tovuz
1
1
D
09.03.26
PL
Zira
Kapaz
2
2
D
05.03.26
CUP
Kapaz
Turan Tovuz
0
2
L
27.02.26
PL
Kapaz
Sumqayit
3
0
W
🎙 Expert Analysis

On Friday, 8th May 2026, Sabah Baku host Kapaz in Azerbaijan Premier League. Our analysis points to Sabah Baku to win as the standout bet.

Sabah Baku come into this in strong form, with 8 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 3.1 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game.

Kapaz are struggling away from home — 3W 2D 5L in 10 games, scoring 1 and conceding 1.5 per match.

Historically, Sabah Baku have won 7 of the last 10 meetings against Kapaz, who have taken 2 victories, with 1 draws. Both teams scored in 70% of those games, averaging 3.7 goals.

With all factors considered, sabah baku to win at 1.29 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


To really find an advantage in sports betting, checking the daily data is an absolute must. This pending Azerbaijan Premier League fixture is a dream for anyone who loves digging into stats. Taking your personal bias out of the equation is the golden rule for making money.

We start by grading the home team. Their broad season record sets the starting odds, but the real clues are always hidden in the short term. Reviewing their latest games gives us a clear look at their current offensive output and their true defensive grit.

The visiting side brings a completely different profile that needs to be decoded. It is incredibly important to weigh their long-term form against the momentum of their most recent games to uncover any oddsmaker mistakes. Past encounters also cast a huge shadow over today’s lines.

Head-to-head history regularly uncovers mental hurdles and tactical edges that automated models just miss completely. Putting these historical truths together with current momentum points us straight to the likely winner. The smart money is backing 1, especially when you factor in the current odds of @1.29.

As the referee signals the start of the match, our analysis is officially wrapped up. The final score will prove if the numbers pointed the right way. Check out our other tips today to build a solid slip.

❓ Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Sabah Baku vs Kapaz?
Our top pick is 1 — Sabah Baku to win at around 1.29. Confidence: 69%.
What is Sabah Baku's recent form?
Sabah Baku have won 8, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 10 — very good form.
How has Kapaz been performing?
Kapaz: 3W 2D 5L from 10 games — inconsistent.
What is the H2H record?
Sabah Baku 7 wins vs Kapaz's 2, with 1 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 3.7 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3.3 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 70%.
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