Tip WON  ·  Al Merreikh 4-1 Etincelles
Official Match Programme · SurePredictionToday
🏆 Rwanda Premier League 📅 Thursday, 7th May 2026
AL
Al Merreikh
W W L D W
4-1
VS
ETI
Etincelles
D D L W L
GATE: PREDICTION ZONE ADMIT: 1 BETTOR REF #003279
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Al Merreikh to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.47
~50% implied
Confidence
60%
Solid Pick
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🎟 Today's Betslip SUPPORTING
★ Main 1 — Al Merreikh to win @1.47
Goals Under 2.5 65%
Both Teams To Score BTTS — No 70%
Al Merreikh Clean Sheet Home CS 70%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

💸 Bettor Intelligence PRO
📊 Value Assessment
-18%
edge
No Value
Market implies 68% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -18% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
🔥 Form Streak Tracker
Al Merreikh
W W L D W D W D W W
〰 Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 60%
Etincelles
D D L W L D W D L D
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 20%
⚔ Head to Head
Al Merreikh1W
Draw0
Etincelles0W
Supports Tip Al Merreikh won 1 of the last 1 meetings (0 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Al Merreikh wins6/10
Etincelles wins2/10
Goals per game1.7
H2H avg goals3
Supports Tip Al Merreikh: 6W 3D 1L from 10 games.
6-3-1
Al Merreikh form
2-5-3
Etincelles form
100%
H2H BTTS rate
3
H2H avg goals
⭐ Team Form Ratings
Al Merreikh
Overall
6.9
Scoring
4.7
Defence
9.0
Etincelles
Overall
3.5
Scoring
2.3
Defence
6.7
📐 Key Analytics
Al Merreikh
1.4
Goals
scored/game
0.3
Goals
conceded/game
70%
Clean
sheets
Etincelles
0.7
Goals
scored/game
1
Goals
conceded/game
40%
Clean
sheets
🎯 Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 15%
Home Win & BTTS No 35%
Draw & BTTS Yes 10%
Draw & BTTS No 23%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 5%
Away Win & BTTS No 12%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 18%
Home Win & Under 2.5 33%
Draw & Over 2.5 12%
Draw & Under 2.5 21%
Away Win & Over 2.5 6%
Away Win & Under 2.5 11%
📋 Match History
Head to Head
17.12.25
PL
Etincelles
Al-Merreikh
1
2
Recent Results
Al Merreikh
02.05.26
PL
Gicumbi
Al-Merreikh
0
3
W
26.04.26
PL
Al-Merreikh
Bugesera
3
0
W
18.04.26
PL
Mukura Victory Sports
Al-Merreikh
1
0
L
04.04.26
PL
Al-Merreikh
Rutsiro
0
0
D
19.03.26
PL
Al-Merreikh
Muhanga
3
0
W
16.03.26
PL
Rayon Sport
Al-Merreikh
0
0
D
09.03.26
PL
Police
Al-Merreikh
0
1
W
27.02.26
PL
Al-Merreikh
Gasogi United
1
1
D
22.02.26
PL
AS Kigali
Al-Merreikh
0
1
W
17.02.26
PL
Al-Hilal Omdurman
Al-Merreikh
1
2
W
Etincelles
02.05.26
PL
Etincelles
Amagaju
0
0
D
26.04.26
PL
Etincelles
Kiyovu
0
0
D
21.04.26
CUP
Etincelles
APR
1
3
L
18.04.26
PL
Etincelles
APR
2
1
W
04.04.26
PL
Bugesera
Etincelles
3
0
L
22.03.26
PL
Police
Etincelles
1
1
D
18.03.26
CUP
Etincelles
Bugesera
2
0
W
14.03.26
PL
Rutsiro
Etincelles
0
0
D
11.03.26
CUP
Bugesera
Etincelles
1
0
L
08.03.26
PL
Etincelles
Rayon Sport
1
1
D
🎙 Expert Analysis

On Thursday, 7th May 2026, Al Merreikh host Etincelles in Rwanda Premier League. Our analysis points to Al Merreikh to win as the standout bet.

Al Merreikh come into this showing mixed form, with 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 1.4 goals scored and 0.3 conceded per game.

Etincelles are struggling away from home — 2W 5D 3L in 10 games, scoring 0.7 and conceding 1 per match.

Historically, Al Merreikh have won 1 of the last 1 meetings against Etincelles, who have taken 0 victories, with 0 draws. Both teams scored in 100% of those games, averaging 3 goals.

With all factors considered, al merreikh to win at 1.47 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


To really find an advantage in sports betting, checking the daily data is an absolute must. This pending Rwanda Premier League fixture is a dream for anyone who loves digging into stats. Taking your personal bias out of the equation is the golden rule for making money.

We start by grading the home team. Their broad season record sets the starting odds, but the real clues are always hidden in the short term. Reviewing their latest games gives us a clear look at their current offensive output and their true defensive grit.

The visiting side brings a completely different profile that needs to be decoded. It is incredibly important to weigh their long-term form against the momentum of their most recent games to uncover any oddsmaker mistakes. Past encounters also cast a huge shadow over today’s lines.

Head-to-head history regularly uncovers mental hurdles and tactical edges that automated models just miss completely. Putting these historical truths together with current momentum points us straight to the likely winner. The smart money is backing 1, especially when you factor in the current odds of @1.47.

As the referee signals the start of the match, our analysis is officially wrapped up. The final score will prove if the numbers pointed the right way. Check out our other tips today to build a solid slip.

❓ Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Al Merreikh vs Etincelles?
Our top pick is 1 — Al Merreikh to win at around 1.47. Confidence: 60%.
What is Al Merreikh's recent form?
Al Merreikh have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 — decent form.
How has Etincelles been performing?
Etincelles: 2W 5D 3L from 10 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record?
Al Merreikh 1 wins vs Etincelles's 0, with 0 draws in 1 meetings. Avg 3 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 1.7 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 100%.
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