Tip WON  ·  Al Ahli SC 3-1 Al Fateh
Official Match Programme · SurePredictionToday
🏆 Saudi Professional League 📅 Wednesday, 6th May 2026
AL
Al Ahli SC
W L W W W
3-1
VS
AL
Al Fateh
D D W L L
GATE: PREDICTION ZONE ADMIT: 1 BETTOR REF #003262
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Al Ahli SC to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.30
~50% implied
Confidence
48%
Solid Pick
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🎟 Today's Betslip SUPPORTING
★ Main 1 — Al Ahli SC to win @1.30
Goals Over 1.5 85%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

💸 Bettor Intelligence PRO
📊 Value Assessment
-26.9%
edge
No Value
Market implies 76.9% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -26.9% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
🔥 Form Streak Tracker
Al Ahli SC
W L W W W W D W L L
〰 Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 40%
Al Fateh
D D W L L L D W L L
〰 Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 20%
⚔ Head to Head
Al Ahli SC3W
Draw2
Al Fateh5W
Against Al Ahli SC won 3 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Al Ahli SC wins6/10
Al Fateh wins2/10
Goals per game3.7
H2H avg goals2.4
Supports Tip Al Ahli SC: 6W 1D 3L from 10 games.
6-1-3
Al Ahli SC form
2-3-5
Al Fateh form
50%
H2H BTTS rate
2.4
H2H avg goals
⭐ Team Form Ratings
Al Ahli SC
Overall
6.3
Scoring
10.0
Defence
6.7
Al Fateh
Overall
2.9
Scoring
4.0
Defence
4.7
📐 Key Analytics
Al Ahli SC
3.5
Goals
scored/game
1
Goals
conceded/game
40%
Clean
sheets
Al Fateh
1.2
Goals
scored/game
1.6
Goals
conceded/game
10%
Clean
sheets
🎯 Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 33%
Home Win & BTTS No 27%
Draw & BTTS Yes 11%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 11%
Away Win & BTTS No 9%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 36%
Home Win & Under 2.5 24%
Draw & Over 2.5 12%
Draw & Under 2.5 8%
Away Win & Over 2.5 12%
Away Win & Under 2.5 8%
📋 Match History
Head to Head
26.12.25
SPL
Al Fateh
Al Ahli SC
2
1
07.02.25
SPL
Al Ahli SC
Al Fateh
2
0
27.08.24
SPL
Al Fateh
Al Ahli SC
1
0
02.03.24
SPL
Al Ahli SC
Al Fateh
1
1
02.09.23
SPL
Al Fateh
Al Ahli SC
5
1
11.02.22
SPL
Al Fateh
Al Ahli SC
0
1
17.09.21
SPL
Al Ahli SC
Al Fateh
1
1
20.03.21
SPL
Al Fateh
Al Ahli SC
4
1
22.12.20
SPL
Al Ahli SC
Al Fateh
1
0
21.02.20
SPL
Al Ahli SC
Al Fateh
0
1
Recent Results
Al Ahli SC
03.05.26
SPL
Al Ahli SC
Al Okhdood
4
0
W
29.04.26
SPL
Al Nassr
Al Ahli SC
2
0
L
25.04.26
CL
Al Ahli SC
Machida
10
0
W
20.04.26
CL
Vissel Kobe
Al Ahli SC
1
2
W
17.04.26
CL
Al Ahli SC
Johor DT
2
1
W
13.04.26
CL
Al Ahli SC
Al-Duhail
10
0
W
08.04.26
SPL
Al Fayha
Al Ahli SC
1
1
D
04.04.26
SPL
Al Ahli SC
Damac
3
0
W
18.03.26
KC
Al Ahli SC
Al Hilal
1
2
L
13.03.26
SPL
Al Qadsiah
Al Ahli SC
3
2
L
Al Fateh
02.05.26
SPL
Al Fateh
Neom SC
2
2
D
28.04.26
SPL
Al Shabab
Al Fateh
1
1
D
24.04.26
SPL
Al Fateh
Al Khaleej
1
0
W
05.04.26
SPL
Al Okhdood
Al Fateh
1
0
L
14.03.26
SPL
Al Fateh
Al Hilal
0
1
L
06.03.26
SPL
Al Taawon
Al Fateh
3
2
L
26.02.26
SPL
Al Fateh
Damac
1
1
D
23.02.26
SPL
Al Fateh
Al Okhdood
2
1
W
19.02.26
SPL
Al Ettifaq
Al Fateh
4
3
L
14.02.26
SPL
Al Fateh
Al Nassr
0
2
L
🎙 Expert Analysis

On Wednesday, 6th May 2026, Al Ahli SC host Al Fateh in Saudi Professional League. Our analysis points to Al Ahli SC to win as the standout bet.

Al Ahli SC come into this showing mixed form, with 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 3.5 goals scored and 1 conceded per game.

Al Fateh are struggling away from home — 2W 3D 5L in 10 games, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.6 per match.

Historically, Al Ahli SC have won 3 of the last 10 meetings against Al Fateh, who have taken 5 victories, with 2 draws. Both teams scored in 50% of those games, averaging 2.4 goals.

With all factors considered, al ahli sc to win at 1.30 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


To really find an advantage in sports betting, checking the daily data is an absolute must. This pending Saudi Professional League fixture is a dream for anyone who loves digging into stats. Taking your personal bias out of the equation is the golden rule for making money.

We start by grading the home team. Their broad season record sets the starting odds, but the real clues are always hidden in the short term. Reviewing their latest games gives us a clear look at their current offensive output and their true defensive grit.

The visiting side brings a completely different profile that needs to be decoded. It is incredibly important to weigh their long-term form against the momentum of their most recent games to uncover any oddsmaker mistakes. Past encounters also cast a huge shadow over today’s lines.

Head-to-head history regularly uncovers mental hurdles and tactical edges that automated models just miss completely. Putting these historical truths together with current momentum points us straight to the likely winner. The smart money is backing 1, especially when you factor in the current odds of @1.30.

As the referee signals the start of the match, our analysis is officially wrapped up. The final score will prove if the numbers pointed the right way. Check out our other tips today to build a solid slip.

❓ Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Al Ahli SC vs Al Fateh?
Our top pick is 1 — Al Ahli SC to win at around 1.30. Confidence: 48%.
What is Al Ahli SC's recent form?
Al Ahli SC have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 — decent form.
How has Al Fateh been performing?
Al Fateh: 2W 3D 5L from 10 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record?
Al Ahli SC 3 wins vs Al Fateh's 5, with 2 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 2.4 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3.7 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 50%.
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