Tip WON  ·  Mingachevir 7-1 Zaqatala
Official Match Programme · SurePredictionToday
🏆 Azerbaijan 1 Liqa 📅 Wednesday, 29th April 2026
MIN
Mingachevir
L W W W D
7-1
VS
ZAQ
Zaqatala
L L L W D
GATE: PREDICTION ZONE ADMIT: 1 BETTOR REF #003182
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Mingachevir to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.38
~50% implied
Confidence
45%
Solid Pick
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💸 Bettor Intelligence PRO
📊 Value Assessment
-22.5%
edge
No Value
Market implies 72.5% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -22.5% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
🔥 Form Streak Tracker
Mingachevir
L W W W D L W W D D
〰 Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 40%
Zaqatala
L L L W D L L L W D
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 20%
⚔ Head to Head
Mingachevir3W
Draw4
Zaqatala3W
Against Mingachevir won 3 of the last 10 meetings (4 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Mingachevir wins5/10
Zaqatala wins2/10
Goals per game2.4
H2H avg goals2.6
Mixed Mingachevir: 5W 3D 2L from 10 games.
5-3-2
Mingachevir form
2-2-6
Zaqatala form
60%
H2H BTTS rate
2.6
H2H avg goals
⭐ Team Form Ratings
Mingachevir
Overall
5.9
Scoring
5.7
Defence
7.0
Zaqatala
Overall
2.6
Scoring
3.0
Defence
5.7
📐 Key Analytics
Mingachevir
1.7
Goals
scored/game
0.9
Goals
conceded/game
40%
Clean
sheets
Zaqatala
0.9
Goals
scored/game
1.3
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
🎯 Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 24%
Home Win & BTTS No 29%
Draw & BTTS Yes 12%
Draw & BTTS No 14%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 9%
Away Win & BTTS No 12%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 24%
Home Win & Under 2.5 29%
Draw & Over 2.5 12%
Draw & Under 2.5 14%
Away Win & Over 2.5 9%
Away Win & Under 2.5 12%
📋 Match History
Head to Head
13.02.26
1L
Mingachevir
Zaqatala
0
0
23.10.25
1L
Zaqatala
Mingachevir
2
3
03.04.25
1L
Mingachevir
Zaqatala
2
2
31.01.25
1L
Zaqatala
Mingachevir
2
1
30.10.24
CUP
Mingachevir
Zaqatala
1
0
03.10.24
1L
Mingachevir
Zaqatala
2
3
09.05.24
1L
Mingachevir
Zaqatala
0
0
07.03.24
1L
Zaqatala
Mingachevir
1
2
23.11.23
1L
Mingachevir
Zaqatala
0
1
15.02.23
1L
Mingachevir
Zaqatala
2
2
Recent Results
Mingachevir
22.04.26
1L
Cebrayil
Mingachevir
2
1
L
16.04.26
1L
Mingachevir
Difai Agsu
2
1
W
09.04.26
1L
Shimal
Mingachevir
0
3
W
03.04.26
1L
Mingachevir
Safa Baku
5
2
W
18.03.26
1L
Baku Sporting
Mingachevir
1
1
D
12.03.26
1L
Mingachevir
Sabail
0
1
L
05.03.26
1L
Baku Sporting
Mingachevir
0
1
W
25.02.26
1L
Mingachevir
MOIK Baku
2
0
W
19.02.26
1L
Safa Baku
Mingachevir
2
2
D
13.02.26
1L
Mingachevir
Zaqatala
0
0
D
Zaqatala
22.04.26
1L
Zaqatala
Sahdag Qusar
0
1
L
15.04.26
1L
MOIK Baku
Zaqatala
2
1
L
08.04.26
1L
Cebrayil
Zaqatala
3
2
L
02.04.26
1L
Zaqatala
Difai Agsu
1
0
W
19.03.26
1L
Shimal
Zaqatala
0
0
D
13.03.26
1L
Cebrayil
Zaqatala
1
0
L
05.03.26
1L
Zaqatala
Shimal
3
4
L
25.02.26
1L
Sahdag Qusar
Zaqatala
1
0
L
19.02.26
1L
Zaqatala
Difai Agsu
2
1
W
13.02.26
1L
Mingachevir
Zaqatala
0
0
D
🎙 Expert Analysis

On Wednesday, 29th April 2026, Mingachevir host Zaqatala in Azerbaijan 1 Liqa. Our analysis points to Mingachevir to win as the standout bet.

Mingachevir come into this showing mixed form, with 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 1.7 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game.

Zaqatala are struggling away from home — 2W 2D 6L in 10 games, scoring 0.9 and conceding 1.3 per match.

Historically, Mingachevir have won 3 of the last 10 meetings against Zaqatala, who have taken 3 victories, with 4 draws. Both teams scored in 60% of those games, averaging 2.6 goals.

With all factors considered, mingachevir to win at 1.38 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


To really find an advantage in sports betting, checking the daily data is an absolute must. This pending Azerbaijan 1 Liqa fixture is a dream for anyone who loves digging into stats. Taking your personal bias out of the equation is the golden rule for making money.

We start by grading the home team. Their broad season record sets the starting odds, but the real clues are always hidden in the short term. Reviewing their latest games gives us a clear look at their current offensive output and their true defensive grit.

The visiting side brings a completely different profile that needs to be decoded. It is incredibly important to weigh their long-term form against the momentum of their most recent games to uncover any oddsmaker mistakes. Past encounters also cast a huge shadow over today’s lines.

Head-to-head history regularly uncovers mental hurdles and tactical edges that automated models just miss completely. Putting these historical truths together with current momentum points us straight to the likely winner. The smart money is backing 1, especially when you factor in the current odds of @1.38.

As the referee signals the start of the match, our analysis is officially wrapped up. The final score will prove if the numbers pointed the right way. Check out our other tips today to build a solid slip.

❓ Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Mingachevir vs Zaqatala?
Our top pick is 1 — Mingachevir to win at around 1.38. Confidence: 45%.
What is Mingachevir's recent form?
Mingachevir have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 — decent form.
How has Zaqatala been performing?
Zaqatala: 2W 2D 6L from 10 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record?
Mingachevir 3 wins vs Zaqatala's 3, with 4 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 2.6 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.4 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 60%.
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