Tip LOST  ·  Southampton 2-2 Bristol City
Official Match Programme · SurePredictionToday
🏆 Championship 📅 Tuesday, 21st April 2026
SOU
Southampton
W W W W W
2-2
VS
BRI
Bristol City
L D W W L
GATE: PREDICTION ZONE ADMIT: 1 BETTOR REF #003097
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Southampton to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.41
~50% implied
Confidence
57%
Solid Pick
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💸 Bettor Intelligence PRO
📊 Value Assessment
-20.9%
edge
No Value
Market implies 70.9% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -20.9% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
🔥 Form Streak Tracker
Southampton
W W W W W W W W D W
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 80%
Bristol City
L D W W L D L L L L
🥶 Cold 4 in a row
Momentum 0%
⚔ Head to Head
Southampton3W
Draw1
Bristol City6W
Against Southampton won 3 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Southampton wins9/10
Bristol City wins2/10
Goals per game2.4
H2H avg goals2.1
Supports Tip Southampton: 9W 1D 0L from 10 games.
9-1-0
Southampton form
2-2-6
Bristol City form
30%
H2H BTTS rate
2.1
H2H avg goals
⭐ Team Form Ratings
Southampton
Overall
9.3
Scoring
7.0
Defence
8.0
Bristol City
Overall
2.6
Scoring
2.3
Defence
5.3
📐 Key Analytics
Southampton
2.1
Goals
scored/game
0.6
Goals
conceded/game
40%
Clean
sheets
Bristol City
0.7
Goals
scored/game
1.4
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
🎯 Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 36%
Home Win & BTTS No 36%
Draw & BTTS Yes 6%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 8%
Away Win & BTTS No 8%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 32%
Home Win & Under 2.5 40%
Draw & Over 2.5 5%
Draw & Under 2.5 7%
Away Win & Over 2.5 7%
Away Win & Under 2.5 9%
📋 Match History
Head to Head
21.10.25
 (Championship) Bristol City
Southampton
3
1
13.02.24
 (Championship) Bristol City
Southampton
3
1
29.11.23
 (Championship) Southampton
Bristol City
1
0
24.09.13
 (EFL Trophy) Southampton
Bristol City
2
0
07.08.12
 (Friendly) Bristol City
Southampton
1
1
30.12.11
 (Championship) Southampton
Bristol City
0
1
26.11.11
 (Championship) Bristol City
Southampton
2
0
14.02.09
 (Championship) Bristol City
Southampton
2
0
08.11.08
 (Championship) Southampton
Bristol City
0
1
05.04.08
 (Championship) Southampton
Bristol City
2
0
Recent Results
Southampton
18.04.26
 (Championship) Swansea
Southampton - W
1
2
14.04.26
 (Championship) Southampton
Blackburn - W
3
0
11.04.26
 (Championship) Southampton
Derby - W
2
1
07.04.26
 (Championship) Wrexham
Southampton - W
1
5
04.04.26
 (FA Cup) Southampton
Arsenal - W
2
1
21.03.26
 (Championship) Southampton
Oxford Utd - W
2
0
18.03.26
 (Championship) Southampton
Norwich - W
1
0
14.03.26
 (Championship) Coventry
Southampton - W
1
2
11.03.26
 (Championship) West Brom
Southampton - D
1
1
08.03.26
 (FA Cup) Fulham
Southampton - W
0
1
Bristol City
18.04.26
 (Championship) Bristol City
Norwich - L
2
4
11.04.26
 (Championship) QPR
Bristol City - D
0
0
06.04.26
 (Championship) Bristol City
Sheffield Utd - W
1
0
03.04.26
 (Championship) Charlton
Bristol City - W
1
2
21.03.26
 (Championship) Bristol City
West Brom - L
0
1
14.03.26
 (Championship) Middlesbrough
Bristol City - D
1
1
10.03.26
 (Championship) Leicester
Bristol City - L
2
0
07.03.26
 (Championship) Bristol City
Coventry - L
0
2
03.03.26
 (FA Cup) Port Vale
Bristol City - L
1
0
27.02.26
 (Championship) Bristol City
Watford - L
1
2
🎙 Expert Analysis

On Tuesday, 21st April 2026, Southampton host Bristol City in Championship. Our analysis points to Southampton to win as the standout bet.

Southampton come into this in strong form, with 9 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 2.1 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game.

Bristol City are struggling away from home — 2W 2D 6L in 10 games, scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.4 per match.

Historically, Southampton have won 3 of the last 10 meetings against Bristol City, who have taken 6 victories, with 1 draws. Both teams scored in 30% of those games, averaging 2.1 goals.

With all factors considered, southampton to win at 1.41 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


To really find an advantage in sports betting, checking the daily data is an absolute must. This pending Championship fixture is a dream for anyone who loves digging into stats. Taking your personal bias out of the equation is the golden rule for making money.

We start by grading the home team. Their broad season record sets the starting odds, but the real clues are always hidden in the short term. Reviewing their latest games gives us a clear look at their current offensive output and their true defensive grit.

The visiting side brings a completely different profile that needs to be decoded. It is incredibly important to weigh their long-term form against the momentum of their most recent games to uncover any oddsmaker mistakes. Past encounters also cast a huge shadow over today’s lines.

Head-to-head history regularly uncovers mental hurdles and tactical edges that automated models just miss completely. Putting these historical truths together with current momentum points us straight to the likely winner. The smart money is backing 1, especially when you factor in the current odds of @1.41.

As the referee signals the start of the match, our analysis is officially wrapped up. The final score will prove if the numbers pointed the right way. Check out our other tips today to build a solid slip.

❓ Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Southampton vs Bristol City?
Our top pick is 1 — Southampton to win at around 1.41. Confidence: 57%.
What is Southampton's recent form?
Southampton have won 9, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 10 — very good form.
How has Bristol City been performing?
Bristol City: 2W 2D 6L from 10 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record?
Southampton 3 wins vs Bristol City's 6, with 1 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 2.1 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.4 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 30%.
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