Tip WON  ·  Tartu Welco 3-2 Levadia U21
Official Match Programme · SurePredictionToday
🏆 Estonia Esiliiga 📅 Friday, 17th April 2026
TAR
Tartu Welco
W W W W L
3-2
VS
LEV
Levadia U21
L L L L W
GATE: PREDICTION ZONE ADMIT: 1 BETTOR REF #003057
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Tartu Welco to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.36
~50% implied
Confidence
47%
Solid Pick
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🎟 Today's Betslip SUPPORTING
★ Main 1 — Tartu Welco to win @1.36
Goals Over 2.5 90%
Goals Over 1.5 95%
Both Teams To Score BTTS — Yes 75%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

💸 Bettor Intelligence PRO
📊 Value Assessment
-23.5%
edge
No Value
Market implies 73.5% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -23.5% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
🔥 Form Streak Tracker
Tartu Welco
W W W W L W D L L L
🥶 Cold 3 in a row
Momentum 20%
Levadia U21
L L L L W L W L W W
〰 Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 60%
⚔ Head to Head
Tartu Welco4W
Draw4
Levadia U212W
Against Tartu Welco won 4 of the last 10 meetings (4 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Tartu Welco wins5/10
Levadia U21 wins4/10
Goals per game4.4
H2H avg goals3.1
Mixed Tartu Welco: 5W 1D 4L from 10 games.
5-1-4
Tartu Welco form
4-0-6
Levadia U21 form
60%
H2H BTTS rate
3.1
H2H avg goals
⭐ Team Form Ratings
Tartu Welco
Overall
5.3
Scoring
8.7
Defence
3.3
Levadia U21
Overall
4.0
Scoring
6.3
Defence
2.7
📐 Key Analytics
Tartu Welco
2.6
Goals
scored/game
2
Goals
conceded/game
10%
Clean
sheets
Levadia U21
1.9
Goals
scored/game
2.2
Goals
conceded/game
10%
Clean
sheets
🎯 Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 40%
Home Win & BTTS No 13%
Draw & BTTS Yes 4%
Draw & BTTS No 1%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 32%
Away Win & BTTS No 11%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 48%
Home Win & Under 2.5 5%
Draw & Over 2.5 5%
Draw & Under 2.5 1%
Away Win & Over 2.5 38%
Away Win & Under 2.5 4%
📋 Match History
Head to Head
27.09.25
Esiliiga
Levadia U21
Tartu Welco
1
1
12.07.25
Esiliiga
Tartu Welco
Levadia U21
3
0
29.05.25
Esiliiga
Levadia U21
Tartu Welco
3
3
20.04.25
Esiliiga
Tartu Welco
Levadia U21
1
0
19.09.24
Esiliiga
Levadia U21
Tartu Welco
1
0
20.07.24
Esiliiga
Tartu Welco
Levadia U21
1
1
26.05.24
Esiliiga
Levadia U21
Tartu Welco
2
2
21.04.24
Esiliiga
Tartu Welco
Levadia U21
3
2
17.11.21
Esiliiga
Levadia U21
Tartu Welco
2
0
03.10.21
Esiliiga
Tartu Welco
Levadia U21
3
2
Recent Results
Tartu Welco
11.04.26
Esiliiga
Nomme Kalju U21
Tartu Welco
1
5
W
03.04.26
Esiliiga
Nomme Utd U21
Tartu Welco
1
3
W
21.03.26
Esiliiga
Tartu Welco
Maardu
5
1
W
14.03.26
Esiliiga
Flora U21
Tartu Welco
1
6
W
10.03.26
Estonian Cup
Parnu JK Vaprus
Tartu Welco
2
1
L
05.03.26
Esiliiga
Tartu Welco
Tallinna Kalev
3
0
W
25.02.26
Club Friendly
Narva
Tartu Welco
2
2
D
21.02.26
Club Friendly
Tartu Welco
Metta
0
4
L
24.01.26
Club Friendly
Harju JK Laagri
Tartu Welco
3
0
L
14.01.26
Club Friendly
Paide
Tartu Welco
5
1
L
Levadia U21
11.04.26
Esiliiga
Maardu
Levadia U21
3
2
L
05.04.26
Esiliiga
Levadia U21
Flora U21
1
3
L
21.03.26
Esiliiga
Elva
Levadia U21
3
2
L
16.03.26
Esiliiga
Levadia U21
Nomme Utd U21
0
1
L
07.03.26
Esiliiga
Levadia U21
Nomme Kalju U21
2
0
W
21.02.26
Club Friendly
Levadia U21
Tallinna Kalev
1
4
L
15.02.26
Club Friendly
Levadia U21
FC Tallinn
3
2
W
07.02.26
Club Friendly
Viimsi JK
Levadia U21
3
1
L
31.01.26
Club Friendly
Levadia U21
Nomme Kalju U21
4
1
W
24.01.26
Club Friendly
Maardu
Levadia U21
2
3
W
🎙 Expert Analysis

On Friday, 17th April 2026, Tartu Welco host Levadia U21 in Estonia Esiliiga. Our analysis points to Tartu Welco to win as the standout bet.

Tartu Welco come into this showing mixed form, with 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 2.6 goals scored and 2 conceded per game.

Levadia U21 are inconsistent on the road — 4W 0D 6L in 10 games, scoring 1.9 and conceding 2.2 per match.

Historically, Tartu Welco have won 4 of the last 10 meetings against Levadia U21, who have taken 2 victories, with 4 draws. Both teams scored in 60% of those games, averaging 3.1 goals.

With all factors considered, tartu welco to win at 1.36 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


To really find an advantage in sports betting, checking the daily data is an absolute must. This pending Estonia Esiliiga fixture is a dream for anyone who loves digging into stats. Taking your personal bias out of the equation is the golden rule for making money.

We start by grading the home team. Their broad season record sets the starting odds, but the real clues are always hidden in the short term. Reviewing their latest games gives us a clear look at their current offensive output and their true defensive grit.

The visiting side brings a completely different profile that needs to be decoded. It is incredibly important to weigh their long-term form against the momentum of their most recent games to uncover any oddsmaker mistakes. Past encounters also cast a huge shadow over today’s lines.

Head-to-head history regularly uncovers mental hurdles and tactical edges that automated models just miss completely. Putting these historical truths together with current momentum points us straight to the likely winner. The smart money is backing 1, especially when you factor in the current odds of @1.36.

As the referee signals the start of the match, our analysis is officially wrapped up. The final score will prove if the numbers pointed the right way. Check out our other tips today to build a solid slip.

❓ Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Tartu Welco vs Levadia U21?
Our top pick is 1 — Tartu Welco to win at around 1.36. Confidence: 47%.
What is Tartu Welco's recent form?
Tartu Welco have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 — decent form.
How has Levadia U21 been performing?
Levadia U21: 4W 0D 6L from 10 games — inconsistent.
What is the H2H record?
Tartu Welco 4 wins vs Levadia U21's 2, with 4 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 3.1 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 4.4 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 60%.
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